India is likely to emerge in top league of trading nations beginning 2013 due to rising bilateral trade with China, growing consumer wealth and high confidence level among its traders. It will retain the fastest growth rate till 2020, which will in turn push trade, says an HSBC report.
"The growing Indo-China bilateral trade is set to increase significantly and the country will be the fastest expanding market for Chinese products, with import growth averaging 20 per cent annually during 2013-15 and 17 per cent during 2016-20, while exports will grow at 23 per cent during 2013-15 and 19 per cent during 2016-20," according to the HSBC trade forecast released today.
India tops the tables for all 23 markets surveyed as either their fastest import or export growth partner out to 2020, it said.
The country also tops the HSBC trade confidence index apart from having the most promising global outlook with 61 per cent of traders expecting to see growth.
"With a score of 135, India is the most confident country. Optimism has improved in the past six months with 71 per cent of importers and exporters surveyed expecting trade volume to increase and another 24 per cent anticipating business to remain at current levels," said the report that covered 5,800 exporters, importers and traders over the past six months in 23 markets.
This upside to trade will be backed by the growing consumer wealth that will push the country to be the fastest growing trade market - import or export or both - among the 23 largest trading markets, according to the forecast.