30 per cent global growth in handset sales in 2004: Gartner

By Our Corporate Bureau | 07 Mar 2005

1

Mumbai: Driven by strong fourth quarter growth, world-wide mobile phone sales surpassed 674 million units in 2004 — a 30 per cent increase from 2003 according to Gartner Inc. Worldwide sales grew 24 per cent in Q4 compared to the same quarter in 2003.

According to Ben Wood, principal analyst for mobile terminals research at Gartner, "The market exceeded even the most optimistic forecasts in 2004. Strong replacement sales, seasonal dynamics and continued growth in emerging markets, especially Latin America, delivered the highest sales volume ever recorded."

2004 world-wide mobile terminal sales to end-users (in thousands of units)

Company

2004 Sales

2004 Market Share (%)

2003 Sales

2003 Market Share (%)

Nokia

207 231,3

30.7

180 672,4

34.8

Motorola

104 124,2

15.4

75 177,1

14.5

Samsung

85 238,4

12.6

54 475,1

10.5

Siemens

48 455,8

7.2

43 754,3

8.4

LG

42 276,8

6.3

26 213,7

5.0

Sony Ericsson

42 031,7

6.2

26 686,3

5.1

Others

144 643,7

21.6

113 009,6

21.7

Total

674 001,9

100.0

519 988,5

100.0

Note* This table includes iDEN, but excludes ODM to OEM shipments.
(Source: Gartner Dataquest, March 2005)

After a tough start to the year, Nokia rebounded with a Q4 2004 market share of 33 per cent (see table below).

"Nokia stabilised its market share at the end of 2004 after the challenges of the first two quarters where it dropped to 28.8 per cent," Wood said. "Its broad portfolio of devices combined with its profitable high volume low-tier products will help sustain this position in 2005, but it must regain the initiative in terms of brand and technology leadership in the face of strong competition from other top 5 vendors."

In the fourth quarter, Motorola regained its second position ahead of Samsung with higher than expected growth. Motorola's revitalised brand, due largely to the positive reviews of the Razr V3, helped lead strong sales in Europe and North America. This was combined with aggressive pricing in emerging markets, particularly in Asia-Pacific and Latin America.

2004 Q4 world-wide mobile terminal sales to end-users in (in thousands of units)

Company

4Q04 Sales

4Q04 Market Share (%)

4Q03 Sales

4Q03 Market Share (%)

Nokia

64 387,3

33.0

54 581,5

34.7

Motorola

31 744,3

16.3

22 255,3

14.1

Samsung

23 883,7

12.2

15 524,7

9.9

LG

13 340,5

6.8

8 727,3

5.5

Siemens

12 588,9

6.4

14 907,1

9.5

Sony Ericsson

12 335,8

6.3

7 965,6

5.1

Others

37 040,0

19.0

33 323,7

21.2

Total

195 320,5

100.0

157 285,3

100.0

Note* This table includes iDEN, but excludes ODM to OEM shipments.
(Source: Gartner Dataquest, March 2005)

Samsung increased its brand awareness in 2004, particularly in China, and it also demonstrated market leadership in some areas such as multi-mega pixel camera phones. To challenge Motorola and Nokia Gartner analysts said Samsung will need to change its strategy and expand its product portfolio into the high volume, lower margin segment.

In Western Europe, strong Christmas sales combined with aggressive pricing (both on hardware and promotional contracts / calling plans) helped sustain sales momentum. Other than price, colour screens, cameras and fashion / design remain the key sales drivers in this region.

The North America market has been led by replacement sales. Generous promotions offering multiple "free" handsets on family price plans and declining prices for color / camera phones fueled growth.

In Asia-Pacific, replacement sales played a significant role in more mature markets like Australia, Hong Kong and Singapore remained buoyant with competition in Hong Kong intensifying further. In China, mobile phones with color displays and camera phones continued to grow. GSM sales accounted for 85 percent of total sales due to competitive pricing and focus on low-tier market by China Mobile.

Overall mobile phone sales in Japan declined in 2004. Latin America ended 2004 with strong sales in the fourth quarter. Almost 19 million new subscribers were added in the fourth quarter, with more than 7 million subscribers in Brazil. The momentum built in 2004 will continue into 2005 as Gartner forecasts world-wide mobile phone sales to exceed 730 million units. While the mobile phone market will continue to grow, Gartner analysts said vendors will face challenges in 2005.
"In mature markets, it remains to be seen whether the record breaking levels of replacement sales can be sustained," said Hugues De La Vergne, principal analyst for mobile terminals research (Americas) at Gartner. "In emerging markets the major battle ground in 2005 will be the sub $50 handset arena."

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