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Reliance and technology stocks lead market rally
Rex Mathew*
15 July 2005


Markets opened the day on a positive note but traders were wary after the volatility seen during the last two days. Though the positive cues from a strong closing by the US markets yesterday and the substantial decline in crude prices helped the indices in early trades, markets were held back by the uncertainty over the oil subsidy sharing formula expected later in the day.

After trading within a range till noon, the indices dipped and went into the negative for a short period. However, strong buying in Reliance helped the markets to recover soon after and the indices gained strength as more and more stocks joined the rally. Reports that the oil subsidy sharing formula finalised by the government is more or less in line with market expectations helped all the oil stocks.

The upsurge in the indices during the last one hour was very fast as stocks like Infosys and Tata Motors gained more strength. The recovery in ONGC from its earlier lows also helped the indices.

Sensex closed at 7272, with a gain of 84 points, and the Nifty at 2213, a gain of 27 points. Nifty July futures discount to the spot index narrowed to 5 points from yesterday's 14 points.

VSNL, Reliance Industries and Infosys were among the major gainers among Nifty stocks while HDFC Bank, Tata Chemicals and ICICI Bank were the major losers.

Strong earnings from frontline companies and sharp decline in crude prices helped US markets to close on a positive note yesterday. The Dow gained well over half a per cent while S&P 500 gained over a quarter of a per cent. NASDAQ closed with gains of close to half a per cent.

Crude declined close to 4 per cent yesterday as traders and large funds booked profits on receding fears about tropical storms in the Gulf of Mexico. NYMEX crude futures for August delivery closed the day at $57.8 to a barrel.

Indian ADR's had a disastrous day in the US markets even when the overall markets were trending upwards. All three technology ADR's, Infosys, Satyam and Wipro lost between 1 to 2 per cent. ICICI Bank and VSNL were the biggest losers with close to 4 per cent losses. Tata Motors closed the day with losses of 2 per cent. HDFC Bank, Dr. Reddy's, and MTNL also closed with losses.

Inflation for the week ended 02 July fell marginally to 4.09 per cent from 4.14 per cent reported for the previous week.

Tata Steel expects global steel prices to recover marginally in the next few months. However, the company would keep the long term contract prices unchanged. Global steel demand is expected to grow about 5 per cent while domestic demand may grow at a higher 7 per cent during the current year. The stock closed more than a per cent higher.

ICICI Bank is focussing on expanding its global presence at a fast pace. The largest private sector bank has opened its second branch in UK and its fourth branch in Canada recently. The bank will offer both retail and corporate banking solutions at these branches.

After divesting a large part of its plantation activities in south India to a company controlled by workers, Tata Tea is planning to diversify the revenue streams from its plantations in the north east. The company has appointed a consultant to study the possible diversifications.

Tata Tea is planning to use the under utilised land in its plantations to raise other crops. The company may also look at non-agro revenue streams as well. Tata Tea will also sell six plantations in South India to Tata Coffee.

Infosys is planning to expand its operations in China in a big way to service the domestic market there. The company, which has around 100 employees in China at present, expects to increase the number to 1,000 in the next few quarters.

Tata Motors expects the domestic passenger car market to maintain a steady growth rate of 8 to 10 per cent over the next five years. The company expects domestic income growth to drive demand. During the first quarter of the current year, Tata Motors lost its second position in passenger car sales to Hyundai.

Reliance Industries surged over 2 per cent in early trades on rumours that shareholders may get shares of other group companies including companies belonging to the Anil Ambani group. The company later refused to comment on the rumours.

Reliance rallied further later in the day after reports that its share of subsidy on liquid fuels will not be more than Rs800 crore, marginally higher than the Rs700 crore expected by the markets. The stock closed with gains of close to 4 per cent.

Stocks of oil marketing companies surged in early trades on expectations of a lighter subsidy burden on them as per the new sharing formula. Indian Oil, HPCL and BPCL all gained close to 2 per cent each in morning trades. ONGC, which was expected to take a substantial subsidy hit, lost close to 2 per cent in early trades.

ONGC recovered part of its losses before noon after reports that the company will acquire a 5 per cent stake in RasGas of Qatar. RasGas is a major supplier of natural gas to India. ONGC Videsh may acquire a few exploration blocks in Cuba.

ONGC gained close to a per cent in late trades after reports that the subsidy burden will not be higher than the expected Rs2,800 crore.

Natural gas supplier GAIL surged well over a per cent after the management said the company's first quarter profits would not be affected by the subsidy share on liquid fuels and LPG. The subsidy share of GAIL for the first quarter will be lower than its share during the same quarter of previous year. The stock closed with gains of over 3 per cent.

Private sector bank majors ICICI Bank and HDFC Bank had a bad day. HDFC Bank, which had surged over 2 per cent after the announcement of quarterly results yesterday, dropped over 2 per cent by noon before recovering partly. The stock dipped again and closed with losses of over 2 per cent. ICICI Bank continued its correction from yesterday till late in the afternoon before recovering partly and closing a per cent lower.

Housing finance major HDFC came out with its first quarter results today. Both net income and profits increased over 20 per cent as compared to the same quarter of last year. The stock closed with gains of well over a per cent.

Auto stocks had a good day with Tata Motors, Maruti, and Ashok Leyland all closing with good gains. M&M closed with marginal gains after trading weak in early trades. Two-wheeler companies Bajaj Auto and Hero Honda also managed to close with gains.

Technology stocks recovered partly from the severe beating suffered yesterday. TCS, which is set to announce quarterly results over the weekend, closed with gains of close to 2 per cent. Infosys gained close to 3 per cent, while Wipro and Satyam also managed to close with gains.

Videocon Industries announced that its board will meet later in the month to discuss an overseas issue of convertible bonds or GDR's to raise up to Rs5,000 crore. The stock, which was trading almost 5 per cent lower till late in the afternoon, recovered all its losses after the announcement.

VSNL, which had corrected yesterday after a huge rally, recovered in late trades and closed with gains of over 7 per cent.

Mid-Cap Action

Mid-caps maintained a relatively steady trend throughout the day. After opening firm, the mid-cap index saw a minor dip by early afternoon when the frontline indices went into the red. By the end of the day, gains on the mid-cap index were lower than the frontline indices after the sharp surge seen in the latter. The CNX Mid-Cap 200 index closed at 3239, a gain of 33 points, a new life time high.

Indraprastha Medical, 24 per cent owned by Apollo Hospitals, has received the accreditation of Joint Commission International. The accreditation is the most widely acclaimed international benchmark for healthcare services and will help the hospital to attract more overseas patients.

Torrent Power, which had announced expansion plans yesterday, was locked in the 20 per cent upper circuit. Group company Torrent SEC also gained over 8 per cent in intra-day trades.

IT education company Aptech was locked in 20 per cent upper circuit as the company's board is due to meet next week to decide on a preferential allotment to overseas investors. According to market rumours, an overseas financial or strategic investor is expected to take a large stake in the company.

After remaining subdued for a couple of days, recently listed Yes Bank surged close to 10 per cent in late afternoon trades.

Dwarikesh Sugar reported a drop in both revenues and profits for the third quarter ended June '05. The company follows September closing for its financial books. The stock, which was trading with gains of over 2 per cent, plunged after the numbers were announced.

The stock however managed to recover later and close with gains of close to 3 per cent after the company announced that its expansion plans are well on course. The expansion would see a doubling of the company's capacity.

PSU telecom equipment manufacturer ITI Industries continued its rally today as well, gaining another 9 per cent.

send this article to a friendSPIC, KDL Biotech and Cinevistas were among the best performing stocks among mid-caps.

CMC Limited, Jaybharat Maruti and Cybermedia were among the significant mid-cap losers.

*Disclaimer: The author does not have any position in the stocks specifically mentioned above at the time of writing this article. This analysis / report is only for the purpose of information and is not an investment advice. Readers are advised to consult a certified financial advisor before taking any investment decisions. While efforts have been made to ensure the accuracy of the information provided in the content the author or publisher shall not be held responsible for any loss caused to any person whatsoever.

Other articles by Rex Mathew

List of general reports on markets

List of general reports on finance

Market: Indices


National Markets
Gain (+) / Loss (-)

SENSEX
7,271.54 + 83.84
NIFTY 2,212.55 + 27.45
Last Update : 15 July, 2005, 16:13 PM

Market Counters
Figures in Rupees

BSE 30
Scrip Name Open High Low Last Price
RELIANCE* 645.00 669.65 644.90 666.60
INFOSYS TECHNOLOGIES LTD.-ORDI 2,150.00 2,207.00 2,137.00 2,195.40
TCS LTD 1,230.00 1,260.70 1,227.10 1,248.20
TATA IRON AND STEEL CO. LTD. 355.00 358.35 348.00 356.95
TATA MOTORS 452.00 465.45 452.00 463.70
RELIANCE ENR 627.95 635.90 624.10 632.95
GRASIM INDUSTRIES LTD. 1,088.10 1,099.00 1,076.00 1,095.65
CIPLA LTD. 326.00 332.00 326.00 330.65
BHARTI TELE 244.55 258.40 244.55 256.65
LARSEN & TOUBRO LTD. 1,240.00 1,260.00 1,240.00 1,257.45
DR.REDDY'S LABORATORIES LTD. 740.00 754.95 740.00 748.30
HEROHONDA M 624.00 634.00 614.50 628.15
WIPRO LTD. 698.00 706.50 693.00 703.85
MARUTI UDYOG 450.00 455.00 448.00 454.00
STATE BANK OF INDIA 712.60 721.45 712.00 717.85
NTPC LTD 90.55 92.00 90.30 91.85
HOUSING DEVELOPMENT FINANCE CO 889.65 891.90 875.05 886.80
SATYAM COMP 481.00 485.00 476.00 480.90
RANBAXY LABORATORIES LTD. 1,038.95 1,041.00 1,026.00 1,036.15
ASSOCIATED CEMENT COMPANIES LT 427.00 429.05 421.50 426.95
HDFC BANK LT 644.95 646.10 627.75 630.30
ICICI BANK L 444.00 444.00 436.00 440.50
TATA POWER 403.00 410.00 396.20 401.20
BAJAJ AUTO LIMITED       1,383.05
BHARAT HEAVY ELECTRICALS       889.50
GUJARAT AMBUJA CEMENTS LTD       60.80
HINDALCO INDUSTRIES LIMITED       1,239.45
HINDUSTAN LEVER LIMITED       156.10
ITC LTD       1,768.40
OIL & NATURAL GAS CORP LTD       926.70
Last Update : 15 July, 2005, 16:02PM

S&P CNX Nifty
Symbol Open High Low Last Price
RELIANCE 643.00 670.00 643.00 666.65
VSNL 318.00 344.65 310.55 341.20
INFOSYSTCH 2195.00 2205.00 2139.15 2195.90
ONGC 981.00 981.00 896.55 928.10
TCS 1231.00 1261.90 1215.05 1248.45
SATYAMCOMP 509.00 509.00 475.65 480.95
SBIN 710.00 728.00 710.00 719.25
IPCL 185.50 189.80 185.00 186.75
TISCO 352.00 357.25 347.65 355.45
ITC 1765.00 1777.00 1745.00 1767.60
GAIL 212.90 216.40 208.15 212.60
TATAMOTORS 456.10 465.00 453.25 463.80
ZEETELE 168.05 175.00 168.05 170.10
REL 624.80 635.90 624.00 632.45
WIPRO 708.00 708.00 692.10 704.45
HINDLEVER 156.50 157.50 152.10 156.30
HINDPETRO 295.00 303.65 295.00 297.90
MARUTI 450.20 455.00 448.20 454.10
ACC 425.00 429.50 421.60 427.85
MTNL 132.20 133.25 128.75 132.05
BHARTI 253.00 258.90 250.50 256.10
BAJAJAUTO 1371.05 1393.00 1371.05 1389.60
NATIONALUM 149.80 156.70 149.80 155.90
TATAPOWER 404.95 411.20 396.00 402.40
CIPLA 326.90 332.00 325.05 331.00
HDFCBANK 645.00 645.00 627.10 630.60
SAIL 52.00 52.00 51.20 51.55
TATACHEM 187.00 190.00 182.10 185.05
ICICIBANK 425.55 444.00 425.55 441.30
PNB 393.90 398.00 392.00 396.30
DABUR 140.00 144.30 139.50 140.95
LT 1245.00 1264.90 1240.00 1261.20
M&M 604.45 604.45 585.00 597.40
BPCL 343.80 348.80 340.00 341.25
TATATEA 645.00 660.00 640.00 646.00
HEROHONDA 624.00 635.00 612.15 628.40
BHEL 888.00 894.80 879.00 889.65
GUJAMBCEM 62.00 62.00 60.10 60.75
HDFC 883.50 900.00 876.10 890.90
GRASIM 1084.00 1099.00 1075.00 1095.35
RANBAXY 1038.90 1040.00 1026.00 1036.25
HCLTECH 365.10 379.00 365.10 376.50
SCI 147.95 150.85 147.00 148.10
ORIENTBANK 258.00 259.90 257.00 258.25
DRREDDY 744.00 755.00 741.00 748.85
HINDALC0 1251.00 1251.00 1231.05 1237.75
SUNPHARMA 600.00 611.00 594.00 605.10
GLAXO 844.05 864.00 844.00 857.05
COLGATE 241.75 241.75 233.25 237.80
ABB 1468.00 1499.00 1451.00 1496.60
Last Update : 15 July, 2005, 16:00PM

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Reliance and technology stocks lead market rally