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Indices decline amid volatility
Rex Mathew*
13 July 2005


Indices witnessed large volatility from the morning itself as traders remained unsure of market direction. After Infosys failed to give a pleasant surprise yesterday, most traders are now waiting for the results from other IT majors like TCS and Satyam as well as other frontline companies.

The bounce back in crude oil yesterday did not help the sentiment and the flat closing by US markets did not give any cues either. After some sharp movements in opening trades, the indices declined close to half a per cent within an hour.

Recovery in Infosys and PSU bank stocks like SBI and PNB helped the indices to recover from the losses and trade flat till early afternoon. Lack of buying support later in the afternoon saw the indices declining to the lows of the day.

Sensex closed at 7248, a loss of 56 points, and the Nifty at 2204, a loss of 17 points. Nifty July futures discount to the spot index widened to 11 points from yesterday's 2 points.

Dabur, Zee Tele and VSNL were among the major gainers among Nifty stocks while GAIL, Ranbaxy and HDFC Bank were the major losers.

The surge in crude prices held the US markets under check yesterday. The Dow closed the day with marginal losses while S&P 500 closed with gains of close to one quarter of a per cent. NASDAQ closed with gains of close to half a per cent.

Crude bounced back over 3 per cent to close at $60.62 to a barrel yesterday. Crude futures for August delivery surged on worries of new storms in the Gulf of Mexico affecting oil production.

Indian technology ADR's had the worst day in recent months as Infosys results disappointed a section of traders. Infosys lost close to 7 per cent while Satyam lost close to 6 per cent. Wipro was better off, closing the day with losses of over 3 per cent. Dr. Reddy's and HDFC Bank were the other major losers, closing over 2 per cent lower. ICICI Bank also closed with losses.

The strong gains in VSNL yesterday in the domestic markets reflected in the ADR as well, gaining close to 15 per cent. MTNL and Tata Motors were the other major gainers closing over 3 per cent higher.

Cement major ACC reported a 70 per cent increase in first quarter profits on a revenue growth of close to 20 per cent. The stock surged over 2 per cent after the results were announced, but gave up part of the gains after traders realised that exceptional gains boosted profits.

The company has decided to change its financial year from April-March to Jan-Dec, to align its reporting with that of Holcim. The European cement major is a large shareholder in ACC. The company has also decided to sell its refractory division to ICICI Ventures for over Rs250 core.

VSNL continued to surge today as well even after the company denied rumours of a domestic acquisition. The company clarified that being part of the Tata group which already hold telecom licenses in most circles across the country, VSNL is not allowed to make any acquisition under the current regulations.

This statement from the company did not deter traders as they point to strong institutional interest in the counter as evidence of some major development in the company. The stock opened almost 4 per cent higher and had gained close to 10 per cent by early afternoon. The stock closed with gains of around 5 per cent.

Zee Telefilms was another counter which rallied today on market rumours and media reports. There were reports in the media that top officials of the company held meetings with Anil Ambani group on a possible partnership for the DTH business. Zee is currently the only private operator of significance in the DTH space.

The stock opened higher by close to 3 per cent before surging another 7 per cent before noon. The stock closed over 5 per cent higher. After the markets closed, the company denied all such reports as speculation.

Hindalco's board of directors have approved the proposal for a stock split. Every Rs10 share will be split into 10 shares of Rs1 each. The decision is subject to shareholder approval. Hindalco expects the supply shortfall in the Asian region in aluminium to widen to 5.9 million tonnes by the year 2009 from 4 million tonnes in 2004.

The CEO of Wipro Americas has stated that it is the only Indian company in the race for a large contract from General Motors. The multi-year contract is reportedly worth $2 billion and Wipro is believed to be bidding for part of it. The company may also join hands with US IT services provider EDS to bid for the contract.

Mid-Cap Action

Mid-caps were less affected by the decline in frontline stocks though they lost part of the gains by afternoon. The mid-cap index opened strong and posted new life time highs and was trading with gains of over a per cent by early afternoon. The CNX Mid-Cap 200 index closed at yet another new life time high of 3216, a gain of 22 points.

Aztec Software announced very good results for the quarter ended June '05. Both revenues and profits were higher by over 150 per cent as compared to the same quarter of the previous year. The growth was excellent even when compared to the previous quarter ended March '05.

The stock opened more than 5 per cent higher but gave up part of its gains and closed 2 per cent higher.

Punjab Tractors surged over 8 per cent in early trades after the company announced a 6 fold jump in profits for the quarter ended June '05. Revenues rose close to 50 per cent as compared to the same quarter of previous year.

The stock gave up much of its gains as traders realised that the increase in profits was mostly on a one time realisation from the sale of its stake in Swaraj Mazda.

Ballarpur Industries gained over 2 per cent in intra-day trades after the company announced the successful completion of its FCCB issue yesterday. The company raised $60 million from the issue and the FCCB's will be converted at a price of Rs180 per share after 5 years.

Another company which completed an FCCB issue yesterday was Uttam Galva Steel. The company raised $30 million from the issue to fund its expansion plans. The bonds will be converted after a period of 5 years at a premium of 45 per cent to the current domestic stock price.

Hindustan Constructions surged over 3 per cent in afternoon trades after the company announced a new order from National Highway Authority. The order is for construction of roads and is reportedly worth over Rs400 crore.

Madhucon Projects also announced a new order from the National Highway Authority. The order is for construction of a highway in the state of Uttar Pradesh and is reportedly worth over Rs300 crore.

Jaypee Associates was another construction company which saw substantial gains during the day. There is some speculation that the company will be awarded some major orders by the National Highway Authority. The company is also planning to spin off its cement manufacturing division into a separate company.

Mushroom exporter Agro Dutch surged after the company announced that it has received fresh institutional orders worth Rs100 crore from the US. These orders are from major food companies like US Food Services and Heinz.

The orders will be executed by next year. Agro Dutch had announced a capacity expansion recently and a German company will be investing 5 million Euros in the company.

Ramkrishna Forgings continued to surge today as well, on speculation about Mahindra & Mahindra acquiring a large stake in the company. Both companies have denied the rumours, but that was not enough to bring down the stock price.

Pharma company Ind-Swift Laboratories announced that it has commissioned three new manufacturing facilities. The facilities are for statins, anti-histamines and API's and confirm to US FDA standards. With the new plants, the company's capacity would more than double.

send this article to a friendDhanalakshmi Bank, ITI Limited and HMT were among the best performing stocks among mid-caps.

SREI Infrastructure Finance, Cosmo Films and DS Kulkarni Developers were among the significant mid-cap losers.

*Disclaimer: The author does not have any position in the stocks specifically mentioned above at the time of writing this article. This analysis / report is only for the purpose of information and is not an investment advice. Readers are advised to consult a certified financial advisor before taking any investment decisions. While efforts have been made to ensure the accuracy of the information provided in the content the author or publisher shall not be held responsible for any loss caused to any person whatsoever.

Other articles by Rex Mathew

List of general reports on markets

List of general reports on finance

Market: Indices


National Markets
Gain (+) / Loss (-)

SENSEX
7,247.91 - 56.04
NIFTY 2,204.05 -16.75
Last Update : 13 July, 2005, 16:13 PM

Market Counters
Figures in Rupees

BSE 30
Scrip Name Open High Low Last Price
HEROHONDA M 610.60 649.00 610.60 636.00
TATA POWER 401.00 410.00 397.55 407.95
STATE BANK OF INDIA 720.00 734.80 717.55 726.35
LARSEN & TOUBRO LTD. 1,245.00 1,270.00 1,230.00 1,262.30
WIPRO LTD. 703.00 716.50 690.00 709.05
BAJAJ AUTO 1,384.50 1,400.00 1,370.00 1,389.10
ASSOCIATED CEMENT COMPANIES LT 425.00 436.25 420.65 422.65
BHEL 883.80 884.00 868.25 876.00
HINDALCO IN 1,250.00 1,253.00 1,228.00 1,231.35
RANBAXY LABORATORIES LTD. 1,050.00 1,057.00 1,017.00 1,022.25
SATYAM COMP 498.00 498.00 483.20 485.10
HDFC BANK LT 658.10 658.10 639.00 644.35
BHARTI TELE 261.95 263.90 252.15 254.25
ONG CORP LTD 950.00 950.00 922.35 924.60
GRASIM INDUSTRIES LTD. 1,099.00 1,107.90 1,069.00 1,074.60
MARUTI UDYOG 459.90 462.85 448.00 449.85
GUJARAT AMBUJA CEMENTS LTD. 63.55 64.40 62.00 62.20
HOUSING DEVELOPMENT FINANCE CO 910.00 910.95 880.00 889.00
TATA MOTORS 468.60 470.00 458.25 460.50
HINDUSTAN LEVER LTD. 159.00 160.00 156.10 156.70
TCS LTD 1,300.00 1,302.00 1,266.00 1,270.30
RELIANCE* 638.00 642.40 629.00 630.70
TATA IRON AND STEEL CO. LTD. 370.00 370.00 352.80 355.20
DR.REDDY'S LABORATORIES LTD. 756.90 764.85 748.00 751.00
I T C LTD 1,750.00 1,760.00 1,723.05 1,729.75
INFOSYS TECHNOLOGIES LTD.-ORDI 2,214.00 2,250.00 2,199.00 2,202.65
CIPLA LTD. 328.50 332.50 321.10 323.10
ICICI BANK L 466.40 466.90 455.00 464.25
RELIANCE ENR 629.95 631.00 615.15 620.20
NTPC 90.05
Last Update : 13 July, 2005, 16:02PM

S&P CNX Nifty
Symbol Open High Low Last Price
VSNL 339.00 364.30 333.00 344.65
INFOSYSTCH 2225.00 2250.75 2200.00 2205.40
SATYAMCOMP 494.00 495.00 483.25 485.25
SBIN 722.10 735.00 717.30 726.40
RELIANCE 640.00 641.40 629.10 630.95
ACC 426.00 436.20 420.55 423.15
ZEETELE 180.00 186.50 171.00 176.35
TCS 1285.00 1300.00 1267.00 1270.75
TISCO 362.80 362.80 352.50 355.05
ONGC 941.00 950.00 921.60 923.85
IPCL 176.40 181.20 176.00 177.60
PNB 395.70 405.00 393.50 399.15
WIPRO 703.00 716.70 700.10 709.20
RANBAXY 1053.00 1059.95 1016.00 1022.00
TATAMOTORS 469.00 472.90 458.00 461.00
MTNL 136.00 141.15 136.00 137.80
MARUTI 457.90 462.90 449.10 450.50
ITC 1750.00 1758.00 1724.00 1728.85
ICICIBANK 467.90 467.90 455.00 463.80
TATAPOWER 398.95 410.75 398.10 408.15
HEROHONDA 613.00 640.00 607.15 632.20
ORIENTBANK 262.00 269.00 259.50 262.75
SAIL 52.40 52.70 51.35 51.70
BHARTI 260.90 262.50 252.10 254.20
LT 1241.30 1268.45 1229.00 1263.25
GAIL 220.50 222.00 210.65 211.95
TATACHEM 174.50 182.50 174.50 180.35
HDFCBANK 658.00 658.00 637.00 642.85
DABUR 135.80 150.50 133.70 146.30
BAJAJAUTO 1392.60 1396.00 1365.00 1380.60
HINDLEVER 158.80 160.00 156.15 156.70
HINDPETRO 303.00 305.50 295.05 296.40
CIPLA 325.90 332.45 322.00 323.50
GUJAMBCEM 63.60 64.00 62.00 62.25
HDFC 915.00 915.00 878.05 887.90
BHEL 872.05 884.00 869.00 876.35
REL 628.80 628.90 615.10 619.50
GRASIM 1100.00 1107.00 1068.00 1075.20
M&M 596.00 601.00 590.60 592.95
HINDALC0 1260.00 1264.45 1230.00 1231.45
NATIONALUM 150.40 150.40 148.05 149.25
BPCL 355.00 355.00 341.55 345.65
HCLTECH 384.95 385.05 375.10 378.50
TATATEA 649.00 649.00 632.00 638.75
DRREDDY 755.00 760.00 746.10 749.00
COLGATE 246.80 249.45 241.00 242.05
SUNPHARMA 575.55 608.80 575.55 600.05
ABB 1495.00 1515.00 1462.00 1470.35
SCI 143.00 144.35 142.50 142.95
GLAXO 854.50 858.00 841.05 844.00
Last Update : 13 July, 2005, 16:00PM

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Indices decline amid volatility