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Indices unable to hold early gains

Rex Mathew*
19 May 2005


Continuing rally in the US markets, declining oil prices and strong rally in most Asian markets all led to the markets opening with a huge positive gap of over a per cent. Technology stocks and select banking stocks lifted the indices.

The indices traded within a band till noon, though with a slight negative bias. News of heavy selling by FII's in the futures segment yesterday saw the markets declining early in the afternoon.

The indices attempted a bounce back later in the afternoon only to give up towards close. Profit booking in the last half hour saw the markets giving up most of the gains made in the morning.

Sensex closed at 6479, up 32 points and the Nifty at 1991, up 8 points. Nifty May futures discount to the spot index widened marginally to 14 points from yesterday's 13 points.

Among Nifty stocks, Bajaj Auto, Infosys and Oriental Bank of Commerce were the major percentage gainers while Reliance Energy, HPCL and Reliance Industries were the major losers.

Yesterday, US markets extended third gains into the third straight day with both Dow and NASDAQ gaining well over a per cent each. The Dow has gained close to 3 per cent in the first three days of the week. The markets turned bullish after data showed the consumer price index, excluding retail fuel prices, remained unchanged for April. The index had gone up for March raising concerns of inflation and faster interest rate hikes by the US Fed. Declining oil prices added to the positive sentiment.

NYMEX Crude oil futures for June delivery crashed over 3 per cent yesterday to close near the $47 per barrel mark. The crash was triggered by US government data showing crude inventories much higher than market expectations. Crude opened weak today morning and was trading around the $47 level before moving higher by one half of a per cent.

Indian ADR's had a spectacular run in the US exchanges yesterday with most of them rising over 3 per cent each. ICICI Bank was the star with a close to 5 per cent gain. HDFC Bank did not disappoint either with gains of over 3 per cent. Tech stocks had another fantastic day as Wipro gained close to 5 per cent. Infosys and Satyam posted gains of around 4 per cent. Telecom stocks VSNL and MTNL both gained over 4 per cent each. Tata Motors and Dr. Reddy's also closed with gains.

After remaining a mute spectator to the Reliance family feud so far, the government finally ordered the Registrar of Companies to send notice to Reliance Industries regarding the allegations made by Anil Ambani. The directive is seen more as a move to cool down criticism of government inaction.

ICICI Bank was the star in morning trades as the stock leapt over 5 per cent after the bank announced the acquisition of a Russian bank. The gains could not be maintained however, and the stock closed with gains of under a per cent.

The Russian bank being acquired by ICICI is very small with total assets of just over $4 million. ICICI is hopeful that the acquisition will offer an entry into the Russian retail finance market as well as opportunities in corporate lending.

Tata Steel announced its fourth quarter and yearly results for the period ended March 2005. For the fourth quarter, profits have grown over 44 per cent on a revenue growth of over 20 per cent. This was better than market expectations.

Tata Steel is reported to have re-negotiated its long term contracts at higher prices in the current quarter. This will help the company to post better margins going forward when steel prices are expected to decline. The stock gained over a per cent.

Bajaj Auto gained close to 3 per cent by noon after opening almost flat. The company is spending Rs200 crore on capacity additions over the next year or so. The company is also launching 3 new scooter models to revive its fortunes in that segment. It is also negotiating to pick up equity stakes in Japanese major Kawasaki's ventures in the Philippines and Thailand. Bajaj Auto is hopeful of achieving a 25 to 30 per cent growth in sales of motor cycles during the current year.

Mid-cap action

Spicejet, which is launching its low cost airline operations, gained in early trades after the company reported more than 37,000 tickets sold on the first day of booking yesterday. As an inaugural offer, the company is offering most tickets at very low prices.

The aggressive pricing from Spicejet invited an immediate reaction from the other new entrant Kingfisher, which slashed its fares yesterday. There are reports that full service carriers like Jet Airways are also contemplating a downward price revision.

Swaraj Mazda gained over 8 per cent in early trades after media reports about Sumitomo of Japan offering to buy a 15 per cent stake in the company from the promoters at Rs400 per share. Private equity firm Actis had recently made an open offer for Swaraj Mazda at the same price. If it goes through, Sumitomo will become the single largest shareholder in the company as it already holds over 10 per cent.

Recently listed BPO company, Allsec, attracted heavy buying after reports about the company tying up with an Israeli technology company to offer management solutions to other BPO companies. Allsec had reported good results for the quarter ended March 2005. The stock closed with gains of over 12 per cent.

Godrej Industries was locked in the 20 per cent upper circuit after the promoters indicated that they are planning to develop the real estate the company owns in Mumbai. The company says it is also open to accept foreign investment for such development if required.

Aptech Limited is another stock attracting a lot of buying attention. The company is one of the larger players on the IT education business and has a good presence in China as well. Many overseas investors, including the private investment arm of Intel Corp, are positive about the growth in education business. The stock closed with gains of over 16 per cent.

Textile stocks saw further buying on reports about the US imposing more quotas on imports from China. Such quotas along with a possible revaluation of the Chinese yuan will be beneficial to Indian exporters, who have seen some decline in margins in the post-quota regime though volumes have moved up.

send this article to a friendAmong mid-cap stocks, Noida Toll Bridge, DCM and Murudeshwar Ceramics were the significant percentage gainers.

Easun Reyrolle, Jaybharat Maruti and Deepak Fertilizers were among the major mid-cap losers.

*Disclaimer: The author does not have any position in the stocks specifically mentioned above at the time of writing this article. This analysis / report is only for the purpose of information and is not an investment advice. Readers are advised to consult a certified financial advisor before taking any investment decisions. While efforts have been made to ensure the accuracy of the information provided in the content the author or publisher shall not be held responsible for any loss caused to any person whatsoever.

Other articles by Rex Mathew

List of general reports on markets

List of general reports on finance

Market: Indices

National Markets
Gain (+) / Loss (-)

SENSEX
6,478.94 +31.94
NIFTY 1,990.85 +8.10
Last Update : 19 May, 2005, 16:15 PM

Market Counters
Figures in Rupees

BSE 30
Scrip Name Open High Low Last Price
BAJAJ AUTO 1,190.00 1,249.00 1,185.00 1,243.00
INFOSYS TECHNOLOGIES LTD.-ORDI 2,060.00 2,110.00 2,050.00 2,098.50
SATYAM COMP 437.80 445.00 435.00 440.75
BHARTI TELE 216.50 218.40 215.00 216.85
GUJARAT AMBUJA CEMENTS LTD. 445.25 445.80 442.00 443.65
WIPRO LTD. 657.70 666.00 651.05 657.40
I T C LTD 1,485.00 1,524.50 1,485.00 1,499.95
LARSEN & TOUBRO LTD. 1,038.00 1,055.00 1,028.70 1,046.05
HEROHONDA M 558.00 565.00 555.00 560.70
GRASIM INDUSTRIES LTD. 1,126.00 1,137.00 1,126.00 1,130.00
ICICI BANK L 398.90 412.20 388.10 393.35
ZEE TELEF LT 154.00 154.95 151.00 153.00
BHEL 839.00 848.00 838.00 841.35
HDFC BANK LT 539.90 548.00 536.20 537.30
RELIANCE* 531.45 535.00 522.55 524.20
HINDUSTAN PETROLEUM CORP. LTD. 330.00 331.00 320.25 323.50
RELIANCE ENR* 491.00 493.00 481.00 483.25
HOUSING DEVELOPMENT FINANCE CO 766.00 766.00 758.00 758.00
STATE BANK OF INDIA 645.35 652.00 636.00 638.25
TATA POWER 368.00 370.00 360.10 363.60
HINDALCO IN 1,188.00 1,196.05 1,160.00 1,168.45
ONG CORP LTD 861.00 864.90 850.00 856.50
CIPLA LTD. 279.25 280.45 275.50 276.90
RANBAXY LABORATORIES LTD. 978.00 983.05 964.00 967.25
TATA MOTORS 443.00 443.90 433.50 435.95
ASSOCIATED CEMENT COMPANIES LT 384.00 388.00 380.00 380.85
HINDUSTAN LEVER LTD. 131.80 131.80 130.00 130.25
DR.REDDY'S LABORATORIES LTD. 682.00 689.00 678.00 681.25
MARUTI UDYOG 448.00 454.40 443.00 446.20
TATA IRON AND STEEL CO. LTD. 360.50 365.30 355.10 356.95
Last Update : 19 May, 2005, 16:05PM

S&P CNX Nifty
Symbol Open High Low Last Price
TISCO 360.00 365.90 354.90 356.75
INFOSYSTCH 2065.00 2110.00 2065.00 2096.75
RELIANCE 531.00 535.00 522.65 524.30
SATYAMCOMP 438.00 445.75 438.00 440.95
SBIN 645.00 651.90 635.50 638.60
ITC 1485.00 1524.50 1481.00 1498.75
MARUTI 449.00 454.00 442.30 446.15
TATAMOTORS 437.05 444.00 433.00 435.75
TCS 1153.45 1172.00 1153.20 1162.50
ONGC 861.00 865.00 850.00 855.25
RANBAXY 971.10 985.00 961.25 967.25
LT 1036.80 1053.40 1028.00 1044.15
SAIL 52.00 52.45 51.30 51.45
ORIENTBANK 264.20 269.95 264.00 267.05
HINDPETRO 328.50 332.00 319.20 322.85
PNB 382.00 386.85 381.50 383.65
WIPRO 660.00 667.00 651.25 658.05
M&M 473.60 486.50 472.10 476.15
ICICIBANK 395.50 414.80 388.20 393.70
BPCL 378.00 385.00 372.00 375.90
GAIL 226.05 229.50 220.10 221.25
BAJAJAUTO 1185.25 1239.70 1185.25 1223.70
HINDLEVER 132.00 132.00 130.00 130.25
HEROHONDA 555.00 564.90 555.00 560.65
BHARTI 215.00 218.60 214.50 217.10
HINDALC0 1199.00 1199.00 1160.00 1167.45
CIPLA 278.60 280.25 275.10 277.05
HDFCBANK 544.80 545.00 539.00 543.10
ZEETELE 152.70 155.00 150.75 153.00
BHEL 833.00 849.00 833.00 843.30
ACC 383.80 387.00 380.00 381.60
DRREDDY 680.00 691.00 678.00 682.15
GUJAMBCEM 440.00 445.20 440.00 443.25
REL 514.40 514.40 480.10 482.70
TATACHEM 163.00 165.75 162.50 164.15
IPCL 166.20 166.20 162.50 163.00
TATAPOWER 365.60 369.40 363.20 364.85
SCI 151.00 152.05 150.15 150.90
HDFC 764.90 768.00 757.90 762.15
HCLTECH 340.00 349.70 339.20 341.45
NATIONALUM 151.00 151.00 146.00 146.45
MTNL 117.00 118.50 117.00 117.20
GRASIM 1129.30 1133.90 1128.10 1130.00
GLAXO 715.50 740.00 715.50 735.10
ABB 1285.00 1309.95 1275.10 1297.75
SUNPHARMA 517.95 517.95 509.45 512.70
TATATEA 536.90 538.00 528.10 529.85
VSNL 212.80 212.80 207.20 208.15
DABUR 123.60 124.50 121.75 123.45
COLGATE 209.15 212.50 208.00 209.10
Last Update : 19 May, 2005, 16:04PM

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Indices unable to hold early gains