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Uptrend Halted on Profit booking

Rex Mathew*
9 March 2005


After five days of continued up move, market saw some profit booking today. After opening firm in the morning, the indices drifted down by noon on broad based selling. The indices however managed to recover part of the lost ground towards close. Sensex closed at 6892, down 22 points and the Nifty at 2161, a loss of 8 points. The Nifty futures discount to the spot index widened to 11 points.

Crude gained smartly on continued cold spell in the Western hemisphere and continue to seek record levels. US markets closed lower on concerns about oil prices and earnings downgrade by technology product companies. Among Indian ADR's ICICI Bank was a major loser with losses of more than 4 per cent. Investors dumped the stock in anticipation of the fresh ADR offer due to open shortly. HDFC Bank continued its rally while MTNL gained more than 2 per cent. Tech majors Infosys and Wipro ended in the red while Satyam closed unchanged.

Commodity markets continue to be on a roll worldwide. Copper, Aluminium and Zinc are all hitting new highs practically everyday. Gold rallied to a new high for calendar year 2005. Dollar weakness is adding to the continued bull run in commodities. Sugar, however, is trending lower on expectations of better output this year and good supply from Brazil. Sugar prices had firmed up in the global markets in anticipation of import demands from India, the world's largest consumer of sugar, which has not happened to the extent predicted.

Investment bank JM Morgan Stanley is holding a conference for potential foreign investors in Mumbai. The meet has received good response from overseas investors and Indian companies doing the presentations include Reliance, HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank. Domestic brokerage ICICI Securities conducted a similar exercise yesterday in Singapore. Brokerages, both domestic and foreign are aggressively selling the India growth story to foreigners and they seem to be lapping it up, going by the attendance.

There were unconfirmed reports of a possible merger between Reliance and IPCL. It may be recalled that Reliance had acquired a strategic stake in IPCL from the government a few years back. A merger between the two companies makes sense as they both operate in the petrochemicals business and a combined entity would be the dominant domestic petrochemicals player by far. However, Reliance Industries denied these reports later.

Reliance traded in positive territory throughout the day with the stock touching Rs600 after a one year gap in morning trades. It was widely reported in the media that a settlement is in sight between the Ambani brothers. ICICI Bank CEO K V Kamath, who is acting as a mediator in the dispute, is believed to have submitted a valuation report on the Reliance group holdings in various companies. It is said that this report would be the basis for an amicable settlement.

Telecom companies announced their subscriber addition numbers for the month of February. Bharti Tele maintained its growth with additions of 4.17 lakh while Hutch reported lower numbers as compared to January. Bharti stock closed flat after trading firm in the morning.

ICICI Bank was a major loser among index stocks as the stock traced the weakness in its ADR yesterday. HDFC and HDFC Bank closed in positive territory on sustained institutional buying.

Auto stocks continue to be weak, led by Tata Motors and Maruti. Commercial vehicles manufacturer Ashok Leyland reported a 10 per cent volume growth for the month of February as compared to previous year.

Pharmaceuticals Company Cadila Healthcare announced a tie-up with Tyco Healthcare to enter the lucrative US market for generics. Tyco is one of the largest US companies in the generics space. Pharma major Cipla gained close to 8 per cent on unconfirmed reports of a stake sale to institutional investors. Other pharma stocks Ranbaxy and Pfizer also saw good gains.

Metal stocks closed weaker after a strong performance in the morning. Nalco lost more than 3 per cent after yesterday's strong rally. Steel stocks Tata Steel, SAIL and Essar Steel closed lower. Sterlite Industries and Hindustan Zinc had firmed up in morning trades on the back of rising copper and zinc prices in the international market.

Mid-cap action
Mid-caps also followed the frontline stocks and closed in the red. Most of the stocks which had seen strong rallies over the last one week declined on profit booking.

Public sector telecom manufacturer ITI gained more than 11 per cent in the morning on news of a contract from a Thailand company.

Medium sized IT company Scandent listed on the bourses today. Scandent is the de-merged technology services arm of SSI Ltd and is now being run by a different management. Scandent listed at Rs190 on the BSE and Rs185 on the NSE.

Public sector Allahabad Bank announced plans for a second public issue in the near future to shore up capital base. The stock rallied more than 4 per cent. Jammu and Kashmir Bank is also coming out with an issue in the near future.

Construction companies continue to be in the limelight. Patel Engineering won 2 contracts for irrigation projects worth over Rs800 crore. The stock gained on good buying support. Gammon India was another winner in the construction space with gains of 5 per cent.

There are reports of German truck company MAN AG picking up a stake in Bajaj Tempo. The company was in news recently as Daimler Chrysler objected to use of the name Tempo, which is a Daimler trademark. The company has proposed to change its name to Force Motors.

Tata Teleservices reported strong addition of 3.68 lakh subscribers for the month of February, an increase of 28 per cent as compared to previous month. This is a superior performance as compared to its competitors. Readers are reminded that Tata Teleservices is not a listed company. Tata Teleservices Maharashtra Ltd, the listed entity and a subsidiary of Tata Teleservices, operates only the Maharashtra circle.

There was some interest in small finance companies like Sundaram Finance and Cholamandalam. Sundaram Finance gained more than 4 per cent.

Japanese markets shrugged off weakness in US markets and the NIKKEI inched closer to 12,000 levels. Other Asian markets were subdued with Hong Kong being the major loser.

The market breadth was very negative as the mid-cap space saw send this article to a frienddeep correction. The correction witnessed today was very mild and a deeper correction cannot be ruled out in the short term.

However, the market may try to move up further before a deeper correction sets in.

*Disclaimer: The author doesn't have any position in the stocks specifically mentioned above at the time of writing this article. This analysis/report is only for the purpose of information and is not an investment advice. Readers are advised to consult a certified financial advisor before taking any investment decisions. While efforts have been made to ensure the accuracy of the information provided in the content the author or publisher shall not be held responsible for any loss caused to any person whatsoever.

Other articles by Rex Mathew

List of general reports on markets

List of general reports on finance

Market: Indices

National Markets
Gain (+) / Loss (-)

SENSEX
6881.49 -33.60
NIFTY 2157.35 -11.60
Last Update : 9 March, 2005, 16:15 PM

Market Counters
Figures in Rupees

BSE 30
Scrip Name Open High Low Last Price
CIPLA LTD. 277.00 299.90 268.55 293.85
RANBAXY LABORATORIES LTD. 1,062.00 1,099.90 1,050.25 1,088.50
GRASIM INDUSTRIES LTD. 1,363.00 1,394.00 1,361.00 1,386.05
HOUSING DEVELOPMENT FINANCE CO 793.50 807.00 791.10 806.00
ONG CORP LTD 903.00 919.80 895.50 913.50
SATYAM COMP 415.00 422.30 410.55 419.40
BAJAJ AUTO 1,092.00 1,100.00 1,088.55 1,100.00
BHARTI TELE 231.00 233.00 230.00 231.65
DR.REDDY'S LABORATORIES LTD. 748.00 758.70 730.00 751.00
HDFC BANK LT 522.90 624.75 522.90 618.35
HEROHONDA M 555.00 563.90 548.25 556.00
TATA MOTORS 461.00 483.00 461.00 468.00
HINDUSTAN PETROLEUM CORP. LTD. 344.00 344.00 333.05 334.40
ZEE TELEF LT 144.45 144.45 140.55 140.70
ICICI BANK L 396.00 398.00 387.15 391.30
HINDALCO IN 1,465.00 1,465.00 1,423.00 1,430.00
TATA POWER 403.90 404.50 390.00 394.10
HINDUSTAN LEVER LTD. 147.20 147.20 142.05 144.00
BHEL 855.00 855.00 825.50 828.00
GUJARAT AMBUJA CEMENTS LTD. 449.90 451.50 440.25 444.00
MARUTI UDYOG 465.00 468.75 457.00 459.60
TATA IRON AND STEEL CO. LTD. 435.30 440.00 430.20 431.80
RELIANCE ENR* 596.00 600.00 575.00 582.90
RELIANCE* 595.00 600.80 584.15 585.80
INFOSYS TECHNOLOGIES LTD.-ORDI 2,260.00 2,272.00 2,054.00 2,247.05
LARSEN & TOUBRO LTD. 1,107.40 1,118.80 1,090.10 1,093.00
HDFC BANK LT 522.90 624.75 522.90 618.35
WIPRO LTD. 718.00 725.10 704.55 714.20
STATE BANK OF INDIA 729.00 731.90 713.00 721.55
I T C LTD 1,381.30 1,395.00 1,361.00 1,377.00
ASSOCIATED CEMENT COMPANIES LT 370.90 372.45 364.30 367.00
Last Update : 9 March, 2005, 16:05PM

S&P CNX Nifty
Symbol Open High Low Last Price
RELIANCE 595.10 600.75 587.10 587.15
SATYAMCOMP 415.25 426.00 411.05 418.00
SBIN 727.00 731.90 712.20 720.10
ONGC 906.00 919.40 895.25 911.90
TISCO 438.00 440.10 430.35 432.25
TATAMOTORS 484.00 484.00 463.60 468.00
IPCL 186.85 192.20 176.55 183.30
CIPLA 275.00 300.00 268.10 294.70
SAIL 66.60 67.20 63.20 64.60
INFOSYSTCH 2250.00 2272.80 2226.30 2250.00
PNB 500.00 500.00 481.00 487.30
TCS 1409.00 1426.50 1395.05 1406.80
MARUTI 467.90 468.90 457.15 459.50
RANBAXY 1060.00 1102.00 1049.25 1090.00
HINDPETRO 342.00 343.80 333.60 335.50
HDFC 794.00 807.00 790.00 801.00
ORIENTBANK 368.00 370.90 354.15 360.75
GAIL 249.90 253.80 238.00 243.15
ACC 368.50 372.50 364.50 366.60
WIPRO 720.00 725.85 704.10 713.00
ICICIBANK 396.00 397.50 387.35 390.50
GRASIM 1351.05 1394.00 1351.05 1375.00
BPCL 410.00 414.40 401.00 404.00
BHARTI 231.00 233.00 229.50 231.85
TATAPOWER 405.00 405.00 390.00 395.20
HCLTECH 354.00 364.30 353.00 356.35
MTNL 135.70 138.90 134.20 136.05
BHEL 845.00 849.90 826.45 830.00
HINDLEVER 145.50 146.75 142.15 144.25
GUJAMBCEM 450.00 451.80 440.10 443.10
M&M 550.35 554.75 537.05 539.05
HDFCBANK 618.95 624.95 610.25 622.50
LT 1115.10 1117.95 1091.00 1098.00
ITC 1360.35 1395.00 1360.35 1368.10
DRREDDY 741.00 758.90 730.00 752.90
HINDALC0 1460.00 1460.50 1422.00 1440.25
NATIONALUM 192.80 193.90 181.00 185.15
HEROHONDA 560.00 564.00 548.00 552.10
REL 598.00 600.05 575.00 581.00
TATATEA 549.00 551.90 531.00 539.50
SCI 170.50 172.90 162.50 167.00
ZEETELE 144.00 144.45 141.00 143.00
BAJAJAUTO 1091.15 1100.00 1081.25 1097.00
DABUR 123.80 125.00 115.05 118.00
SUNPHARMA 484.05 494.00 480.00 487.95
TATACHEM 161.80 162.15 157.00 157.80
VSNL 221.50 222.50 214.60 220.40
GLAXO 758.90 758.90 736.15 748.25
ABB 1303.50 1313.00 1265.10 1270.00
COLGATE 184.75 187.00 183.00 184.50
Last Update : 9 March, 2005, 16:00PM

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Uptrend Halted on Profit booking