Following
the merger agreement, Standard & Poor''s has put French
gas utility Gaz de France S.A. (GDF) on ''AA-/A-1+'' ratings
CreditWatch with negative implications, while putting
Franco-Belgian multi-utility Suez S.A. on its ''A-/A-2'' ratings
CreditWatch with positive implications, following the announcement
of the revised terms for the merger between the two (See:
Power
utility firms Suez, Gaz de France to merge into GDF Suez).
The
two companies were placed on CreditWatch on 27 February, 2006, following the initial
merger announcement. "Notwithstanding
changes in the terms of the merger it should still be overall beneficial for Suez
and dilutive for GDF from a credit standpoint, in terms of both business and financial
risk," said Standard & Poor''s credit analyst Hugues de la Presle. "To
resolve the CreditWatch placement, we will focus on the enlarged group''s strategy
and financial policy," said de la Presle. Although
Suez is the larger and more diversified company, GDF''s business risk is lower,
given the large share of earnings it derives from regulated French businesses.
Likewise, from a financial risk perspective, although Suez''s financial profile
has improved significantly, GDF still has much stronger credit ratios. Under
the revised terms, 21 GDF shares will be exchanged for 22 Suez shares, with no
special dividend being paid. Initially the terms of the merger were a one-for-one
share exchange plus a €1 billion special dividend to be paid to Suez shareholders
prior to completion of the merger process. To mitigate the difference in the share
prices of Suez and GDF, 65 per cent of the share capital of Suez''s environment
arm (20 per cent of first-half 2007 Suez EBIT) will be spun off to Suez shareholders
at the time of the merger, with the enlarged group retaining a 35-per cent stake.
These
revised terms are a significant step forward but the merger still faces some hurdles,
especially its approval by both groups'' shareholders; the signing of the decree
allowing the privatisation of GDF following the passing of the law in the French
parliament; and the opposition of GDF''s unions.
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