Despite its sharp 12 per cent
appreciation against the dollar over the past year, the euro''s exchange rate stands
broadly in line with fundamentals, managing director of the International Monetary
Fund (IMF) Rodrigo de Rato told the media at the start of the IMF''s annual meeting
in Washington DC on Thursday 18 October. "It
is true that the euro is close to its historic highs in real effective terms,
but it is also true that the euro-area current account is in broad balance,"
de Rato said, adding that the pan-European currency was in line with medium-term
fundamentals on a multilateral basis. Earlier
in the week, de Rato had told the media that the dollar was "overvalued"
and needed to fall further. This reversed earlier comments that he had made. The
US currency, continuing its retreat, hit a record low against the euro on Thursday.
But most European
financial and business leaders are at odds with the drop in the dollar, and believe
their economies are bearing the brunt of the greenback''s decline. President of
the European Central Bank Jean-Claude Trichet has said he is paying "great
attention" to American statements in support of a strong dollar. US
treasury secretary Henry Paulson said earlier this week that a strong dollar "is
in our nation''s interest", adding that "currency values should be determined
in competitive markets, based on underlying economic fundamentals". But
de Rato''s comments effectively mean the G-7, the group of seven leading industrialised
nations - which has urged China to accelerate the appreciation of its currency
- will not intervene to stop the dollar''s decline. The dollar''s decline has badly
hurt European exports, but it is helping to lower the US trade deficit, a key
source of global instability.
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