labels: Gartner
PC sales grow despite economic slowdown; corporate IT spending slows news
15 October 2008

Worldwide PC shipments reached 80.6 million units in the third quarter of 2008, registering a 15 per cent increase from the third quarter last year, according to preliminary results by Gartner, Inc.

''The mini-notebook segment experienced strong growth in the global PC, led by robust growth in the Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA) region,'' said Mika Kitagawa, principal analyst for Gartner's Client Computing Markets group. ''In the North America market, the economic crunch created more interest in the sub $500 segment. Because the mini-notebook is still a new segment, it is too early to determine if the emerging segment created new market opportunities, or if it cannibalized lower priced systems.''

''At the same time, global PC market finally felt the impact from global economic downturn. The US professional market experienced the biggest hit from the economic crunch. The US home market saw definite softness in PC sales after a few quarters of strong growth,'' Kitagawa said. ''The Asia/Pacific PC market was impacted by a slowdown in China. PC growth in Latin America was slow relative to historical levels, but it was still in line with the forecast.''

HP maintained the No. 1 position in worldwide PC shipments in the third quarter of 2008 (Table 1). The company was impacted by a slower entry into the mini-notebook market, losing the top position in EMEA. Dell's recent expansion efforts did not equate to increased market share in the third quarter. Dell primarily struggled with the professional market, especially in the EMEA and U.S. markets.

Table 1
Preliminary Worldwide PC Vendor Unit Shipment Estimates for 3Q08 (Thousands of Units)


Company

3Q08 Shipments

3Q08 Market Share (%)

3Q07 Shipments

3Q07 Market Share (%)

3Q08-3Q07 Growth (%)

Hewlett-Packard

14,784.8

18.4

12,848.7

18.3

15.1

Dell

10,995.1

13.6

9,853.6

14.1

11.6

Acer

10,038.1

12.5

6,812.4

9.7

47.3

Lenovo

5,893.3

7.3

5,449.8

7.8

8.1

Toshiba

3,678.0

4.6

2,922.8

4.2

25.8

Others

35,175.4

43.7

32,162.6

45.9

9.4

Total

80,564.7

100.0

70,049.9

100.0

15.0

Note: Data includes desk-based PCs, mobile PCs and X86 servers.
Note: Acer data includes Gateway's consumer shipments and Packard Bell shipments.
Source: Gartner (October 2008)

Two vendors that had a strong focus and acted quickly in the mini-notebook segment are ASUS and Acer. Both of these vendors experienced robust growth. Although most major vendors now have their own mini-notebook offerings, Kitagawa said it will be a challenge for these vendors to match or beat the market expansion that ASUS and Acer have attained so far.

PC shipments in the U.S. market grew 4.6 per cent in the third quarter of 2008 from the third quarter of 2007. Early indications suggest that the professional mobile PC market had slower than expected growth while desk-based PC shipments were in line with previous expectations. Mini-notebook shipments accounted for approximately 5 per cent of US mobile PC shipments and added approximately 1-2 percentage points of year-over-year growth.

''Despite the back to school sales season, the US home market did not see its typical seasonal spike during the quarter,'' Kitagawa said. ''The continued decline of the average selling price (ASP) of PCs did not stimulate sales as much at the vendors had hoped.''

Dell maintained the top position in the US market (Table 2), but its growth slowed compared to its last several quarters. Dell was impacted by weakness in the professional market, as well as slowdown in the home segment.

Apple maintained the third position. Apple is expected to see steady growth in the education and home segments. Acer's PC shipment growth was accelerated by mini-notebook shipments in the quarter. These systems have been well received in the U.S. professional and home segments.

Table 2
Preliminary United States PC Vendor Unit Shipment Estimates for 3Q08 (Thousands of Units)


Company

3Q08 Shipments

3Q08 Market Share (%)

3Q07 Shipments

3Q07 Market Share (%)

3Q08-3Q07 Growth (%)

Dell

5,122.9

29.5

4,833.1

29.1

6.0

Hewlett-Packard

4,452.7

25.7

4,264.1

25.7

4.4

Apple

1,644.9

9.5

1,270.7

7.7

29.4

Acer

1,542.5

8.9

1,387.0

8.4

11.2

Toshiba

979.0

5.6

945.4

5.7

3.6

Others

3,608.3

20.8

3,882.3

23.4

-7.1

Total

17,350.4

100.0

16,582.5

100.0

4.6

Note: Data includes desk-based PCs, mobile PCs and X86 servers.
Note: Acer data includes Gateway's consumer shipments and Packard Bell shipments.
Source: Gartner (October 2008)

PC shipments in EMEA totaled 28.8 million units in the third quarter of 2008, a 25.9 per cent increase from the third quarter last year. The EMEA PC market performance was largely dictated by vendors that shipped mini-notebooks and those that did not, resulting in significant movements in the EMEA top 5 vendor positions. For the first time ever since HP merged with Compaq, it lost its No. 1 position in the EMEA PC market to Acer. Acer bolstered its shipment numbers with a significant number of shipments into the teleco retail channel across Western Europe. Acer accounted for 20.6 percent of shipments in the region, and HP accounted for 18.7 percent of shipments in the third quarter of 2008.

PC shipments in Asia/Pacific grew 13.3 per cent in the third quarter, with PC units totaling 21.6 million. Mobile PCs continue to be the driver of consumption while consumer desk-based PC demand faces challenges in the region. Mobile PC shipments increased 43.6 percent compared to the third quarter last year, while desk-based PCs grew 0.8 percent year-over-year.

Latin America PC shipments reached 7.3 million units in the third quarter, a 13.2 percent increase from the third quarter last year. Fueling the notion that mobile PCs are becoming the first PC for a growing number of homes and the preferred platform for some businesses, mobile PC shipments accounted for approximately 28 percent of overall shipments, compared to 21 percent in the third quarter of 2007.

In Japan, PC shipments totaled 3.7million units, an 9.2percent increase from the third quarter last year. The consumer market performed better than expected. The professional sector is expected to post low single-digit growth, but early results show the consumer segment could show double-digit increases.

Corporate IT spending slows
However, the global economic slowdown is impacting IT budgets, though the IT industry will not see the dramatic reductions that were seen during the dot.com bust. At that time, budgets were slashed from mid double-digit growth to low single-digit growth.

''In a worst case scenario, our research indicates an IT spending increase of 2.3 per cent in 2009, down from our earlier projection of 5.8 per cent,'' said Peter Sondergaard, senior vice president at Gartner and global head of Research.

''Developed economies, especially the United States and Western Europe, will be the worst affected, but emerging regions will not be immune. Europe will experience negative growth in 2009, the United States and Japan will be flat.''

Sondergaard provided the latest outlook for the IT industry during Gartner Symposium/ITxpo, which is taking place here through October 16. Gartner said the events of the past two weeks will have an impact on IT budgets in the fourth quarter, but it will not change 2008 substantially.

The IT industry went through more dramatic reductions during, and after, the recession of 2001, when "many lessons were learned", said Sondergaard said .

''We learned that in tumultuous times, CEOs want their executives and managers to be advisors and counsellors, not just great implementers of directions given to them,'' he said. ''What they want now most of all is agile leadership. Leadership that can guide us through simultaneous cost control and expansion at the same time.''

Organisations now view IT as a way to transform their businesses and adopt operating models that are much leaner. Other reasons that IT will not see more severe reductions include:

  • IT is embedded in running all aspects of the business
  • The shift to multi-year IT programs aligned with business, and they are difficult to cut immediately
  • IT spending decreases lag the economy by at least two quarters

 search domain-b
  go
 
PC sales grow despite economic slowdown; corporate IT spending slows