Crude
oil broke the $90 barrier for the first time in New York, as the dollar traded
near a record low against the euro. Investors purchased oil on speculation that
the US Federal Reserve will cut borrowing costs to bolster the US economy in its
31 October meeting. Earlier
in the week, oil futures set records over the past four days on concern that supplies
from northern Iraq may be disrupted if Turkey takes military action against Kurdish
rebels in northern Iraq. Part
of the reason is a weak dollar, which is pushing prices higher and enhancing the
appeal of commodities as an investment. Analysts say it is hard to see how the
trend is going to turn around in the short term. Crude
oil for November delivery rose to $90.07 a barrel in after-hours electronic trading
on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMex), the highest since trading began in
1983. Prices were up 9 cents on the day at $89.56 in London. Brent crude oil for
December settlement traded at $84.66 barrel, up 7 cents. The
Turkish parliament authorised prime minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan to order military
incursions against Kurdish rebel bases in Iraq within a year. Iraq has said it
will halt all oil exports through Turkey if it is attacked. The
US currency has fallen to a record low of $1.43 to the euro. A lower dollar makes
oil cheaper in countries that use other currencies. While crude-oil is up 46 per
cent in dollar terms so far this year, it is up just 35 per cent in euros, 40
per cent in British pounds sterling and 42 per cent in yen. Investors are going
into crude futures to hedge against a weakening dollar. The
Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) agreed last month to produce
an extra 500,000 barrels a day starting 1 November to meet rising demand. World
oil consumption peaks in the fourth quarter, when refiners make heating fuel for
the winter. But
analysts say additional output from OPEC won''t affect a market that is reacting
to non-fundamental factors. They say the weakening US dollar is prompting investors
to move funds to commodities futures from currencies.
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