Convinced
that any amount of monetary measures will not be able
to rein the galloping inflation, which has recorded
a frightening two-year high of 6.73 per cent (going
by the latest figures), the government today cut fuel
prices. It reduced petrol rates by Rs2, while diesel
will now cost Rs1 less.
The
move is expected to set-off a chain reaction in the
supply chain by cooling off prices of commodities. The
government has been mulling over the unrelenting spike
in inflation for the last few months.
Unlike
monetary measures, the latest move by the government
is likely to have an immediate effect on price rise.
To begin with, prices of agricultural commodities are
likely to show a cooling effect as the transportation
cost - a key component of overall price assessment factors,
will come down.
It
was in response to a sustained demand from the markets
and analysts that the Government had to act on the supply
side front to rein the rising inflation, instead of
waiting for the RBI to take action. While it had taken
a few measures in this direction last month, they did
not seem to have been enough of a curbing mechanism.
The
petroleum minister said the price cut burden will be
met by a combination of new oil bonds and internal resource
mobilisation by the oil companies. The government has
also said that it would cut down the duty on petro products
to cushion the rising losses by the oil companies.
Thanks
to the assembly elections in some states, including
the politically important Uttar Pradesh, the latest
step by the government to tame inflation indicates that
the centre has realised that it is time to act.
The
cumulative losses by the oil companies due to the price
cut are estimated to be under Rs50,000 crore. However
it is expected that there wont be much of an impact
on the bottom lines of oil companies as most losses
will be compensated by import duty cuts, pushing of
fresh oil bonds.
According
to Senior IOC official, the under-recoveries on diesel
will go up from Rs1.35 to Rs2.35, while over-recoveries
on petrol will be neutralised.
The
reduction, the second in less than three months, was
announced after a meeting of prime minister Manmohan
Singh, finance minister P Chidambaram and petroleum
minister Murli Deora.
The
two key motor fuel prices were last reduced by an identical
amount in November. Announcing the price cut, Deora
said the decision followed concerns expressed by UPA
chairperson Sonia Gandhi about rising inflation.
The finance ministry is also likely to make duty adjustments,
possibly reduction in excise rates. An announcement
in this regard is expected soon.
Also,
the government was in favour of ensuring that since
global crude oil prices had stabilised, the common person
should not be burdened any further, especially since
inflation had also risen to new peaks.
In
June 2006, the Indian oil basket was at $67 per barrel,
which jumped to $75 by August. But since then there
has been a consistent dip in the basket prices, which
went down to $52 per barrel in recent weeks.
Moreover,
gradual duty adjustment is in line with the government's
policy.
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