Mumbai:
International
rating agency Standard & Poor's (S&P) says India's
mounting public debt, which leaves almost nothing of the
gross domestic product (GDP), is keeping the country's
ratings below investment grade and its outlook negative.
India
had lost its investment-grade rating in September 2002
when S&P lowered the local currency to BB+ and the
short-term credit rating to B. It had, however, retained
its foreign currency rating at BB.
According
to the rating agency, the direct debt of the centre and
the states and the debt guaranteed by them add up to 95
per cent of the GDP. It said the consolidated general
government deficit of 10 per cent of the GDP is one of
the highest of all sovereigns rated by S&P.
It,
however, says that a GDP growth rate of 5-6 per cent in
the medium term and comfortable external liquidity sustained
by burgeoning foreign exchange reserves will help cushion
the impact of the widening fiscal deficit.
S&P
says the outlook could be revised to stable if the country
plugs a leaky tax system and implements legislation to
control fiscal deficit that will slow the growth of public
debt. It has also recommended "full implementation
of value-added tax and cost-recovery of public services,
especially energy" to help improve the country's
outlook.
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