See: Details of revised estimates of annual national income, 2007-08 and quarterly estimates of gross domestic product, 2007-08 news
30 May 2008

The Central Statistical Organisation under the ministry of statistics and programme implementation, has released the revised estimates of national income for the financial year 2007-08 and the quarterly estimates of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the fourth quarter (January-March) of 2007-08, both at constant (1999-2000) and current prices. 

2.  The CSO has also released the corresponding annual and quarterly estimates of Expenditure components of the GDP in current and constant (1999-2000) prices, namely the private final consumption expenditure, government final consumption expenditure, gross fixed capital formation, change in stocks, valuables, and net exports. 

I  REVISED ANNUAL ESTIMATES OF NATIONAL INCOME, 2007-08

3.  The advance estimates of national income for the year 2007-08 were released on 7th February, 2008. These estimates have now been revised incorporating latest estimates of agricultural production, index of industrial production and performance of key sectors like, railways, transport other than railways, communication, banking and insurance and government expenditure. 

4. The salient features of these estimates are detailed below:

(a) Estimates at constant (1999-2000) prices

Gross Domestic Product

5. GDP at factor cost at constant (1999-2000) prices in the year 2007-08 is now estimated at Rs. 31,22,862 crore  (as against Rs. 31,14,452  crore estimated earlier on 7th February, 2008), showing a growth rate of 9.0 per cent (as against 8.7 per cent in the Advance Estimates) over the Quick Estimates of GDP for the year 2006-07 of  Rs. 28,64,310 crore, released on  31st January 2008.  The upward revision in the GDP growth rate is mainly on account of the revisions made in the estimated production of agricultural crops by the Department of Agriculture and Co-operation.

6. The sectors which showed growth rates of 5 per cent or more, are 'manufacturing' (8.8 per cent), 'electricity, gas and water supply' (6.3 per cent),  'construction' (9.8 per cent), 'trade, hotels, transport and communication' (12.0 per cent), 'financing, insurance, real estate and business services' (11.8 per cent), and 'community, social and personal services' (7.3 per cent). 

National Income
7.  The net national product (NNP) at factor cost, also known as national income, at 1999-2000 prices is now estimated at Rs. 27,67,682 crore (as compared to Rs. 27,60,325 crore estimated earlier), during 2007-08, as against the previous year's Quick Estimate of Rs. 25,30,495 crore. In terms of growth rates, the national income is estimated to rise by 9.4 per cent during 2007-08, in comparison to the growth rate of 9.7 per cent in 2006-07.

Per Capita Income
8. The per capita income in real terms (at 1999-2000 prices) during 2007-08 is estimated to attain a level of Rs. 24,321 (as against Rs. 24,256 estimated on 7th February, 2008), as compared to the Quick Estimates for the year 2006-07 of Rs. 22,553. The growth rate in per capita income is estimated at 7.8 per cent during 2007-08.

(b) Estimates at current prices

Gross Domestic Product
9.  GDP at factor cost at current prices in the year 2007-08 is estimated at Rs. 43,03,654 crore, showing a growth rate of 13.6 per cent over the Quick Estimates of GDP for the year 2006-07 of  Rs. 37,90,063 crore, released on  31st January  2008.  

National Income
10. The NNP at factor cost at current prices is now estimated at Rs. 37,89,482 crore during 2007-08, as compared to Rs. 33,25,817 crore during 2006-07, showing a rise of  13.9 per cent.

Per Capita Income
11. The per capita income at current prices during 2007-08 is estimated to attain a level of Rs.33,299 as compared to the Quick Estimates for the year 2006-07 of Rs.29,642, showing a rise of 12.3 per cent.

II  ANNUAL ESTIMATES OF EXPENDITURES ON GDP, 2007-08

12. Alongwith the Revised Estimates of GDP by economic activity, the CSO is also releasing the estimates of expenditures of the GDP at current and constant (1999-2000) prices.  These estimates have been compiled using the data on indicators available from the same sources as those used for compiling GDP estimates by economic activity, detailed data available on merchandise trade in respect of imports and exports, balance of payments, and monthly accounts of central government.  As various components of expenditure on gross domestic product, namely, consumption expenditure and capital formation, are normally measured at market prices, the discussion in the following paragraphs is in terms of market prices only.

Private Final Consumption Expenditure
13. Private Final Consumption Expenditure (PFCE) at current prices is estimated at Rs. 26,07,584 crore in 2007-08 as against Rs. 23,12,105 crore in 2006-07. At constant (1999-2000) prices, the PFCE is estimated at Rs. 19,77,876 crore in 2007-08 as against Rs. 18,26,490 crore in 2006-07. In terms of GDP at market prices, the rates of PFCE at current and constant (1999-2000) prices during 2007-08 are estimated at 55.3 per cent and 58.2 per cent, respectively, as against the corresponding rates of 55.8 per cent and 58.6 per cent, respectively in 2006-07.

Government Final Consumption Expenditure
14. Government Final Consumption Expenditure (GFCE) at current prices is estimated at Rs. 4,77,697 crore in 2007-08 as against Rs. 4,27,007 crore in 2006-07. At constant (1999-2000) prices, the GFCE is estimated at Rs. 3,27,747 crore in 2007-08 as against Rs. 3,06,420 crore in 2006-07. In terms of GDP at market prices, the rates of GFCE at current and constant (1999-2000) prices during 2007-08 are estimated at 10.1 per cent and 9.6  per cent, respectively, as against the corresponding rates of 10.3 per cent and 9.8 per cent, respectively in 2006-07.

Gross Fixed Capital Formation
15.  Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) at current prices is estimated at Rs. 15,98,078 crore in 2007-08 as against Rs. 13,46,501 crore in 2006-07. At constant (1999-2000) prices, the GFCF is estimated at Rs. 10,85,618 crore in 2007-08 as against Rs. 9,54,350 crore in 2006-07. In terms of GDP at market prices, the rates of GFCF at current and constant (1999-2000) prices during 2007-08 are estimated at 33.9 per cent and 31.9 per cent, respectively, as against the corresponding rates of 32.5 per cent and 30.6 per cent, respectively in 2006-07.  Thus, there is an increase of 1.4 percentage points in the estimated GFCF at current prices during 2007-08.  The rates of Change in Stocks and Valuables at current prices during 2007-08 are estimated at 2.3 per cent and 1.3 per cent, respectively.

Discrepancies
16.  The Discrepancies presented in the national accounts statistics refer to the differences between the GDP estimated by economic activity marked up by net indirect taxes (indirect taxes less subsidies) to arrive at GDP at market prices; and the GDP estimated from the expenditure side. 

These discrepancies are the sum total of (i) the statistical discrepancy in the National Disposable Income and its Appropriation Account, (ii) errors and omissions in the Capital Finance Account (in the estimation of gross capital formation), (iii) adjustment of merchandise exports to the change of ownership basis in the External Transactions Account, and (iv) adjustment of merchandise imports to the change of ownership basis, also in the External Transactions Account. 

The component-wise break-up of the discrepancies is available at the time of releasing the Quick Estimates of National Income, Consumption Expenditure, Saving and Capital Formation on 31st January, when all the above accounts are compiled based on detailed data given in the balance of payments statistics. 

The estimates of Saving and Gross Capital Formation (which is estimated using the funds-flow approach as sum of saving and net capital inflow from abroad) and their rates in terms of GDP at market prices are also released at the same time, as these are compiled using the detailed data available from central and state government accounts and on the private corporate sector from the Reserve Bank of India.  Thus, the estimates of saving and capital formation for the year 2007-08 are not presented in this press release.

17.  The discrepancies at current and constant (1999-2000) prices during 2007-08 are estimated at 0.2 per cent and 1.1 percent, respectively of the GDP at market prices, as against the corresponding rate of 1.0 per cent and 1.8 percent, respectively in 2006-07.

18.  Estimates of gross/net national product, gross/net domestic product and per capita income, alongwith GDP at factor cost by kind of economic activity and the Expenditures on GDP for the years 2005-06, 2006-07 and 2007-08 at constant (1999-2000) and current prices are given in Statements 1 to 4.

II  QUARTERLY ESTIMATES OF GDP FOR Q4 (JANUARY-MARCH), 2007-08

(a) Estimates at constant (1999-2000) prices

19.  The four quarters of a financial year are denoted by Q1, Q2, Q3 and Q4.  GDP at factor cost at constant (1999-2000) prices in Q4 of 2007-08 is estimated at Rs. 8,52,270 crore, as against  Rs. 7,83,618 crore in Q4 of 2006-07, showing a growth rate of 8.8 per cent. The sectors which registered significant growth rates in Q4 of 2007-08 over Q4 of 2006-07 are 'mining and quarrying' at 5.9 per cent, 'manufacturing' at 5.8 per cent, 'electricity, gas and water supply' at 5.6 per cent, 'construction' at 12.6 per cent, 'trade, hotels, transport and communication' at 12.4 per cent, 'financing, insurance, real estate and business services' at  10.5 per cent, and 'community, social and personal services' at 9.5 per cent.

20.  The PFCE and GFCF at constant (1999-2000) market prices in Q4 of 2007-08 are estimated at Rs. 5,03,109 crore and Rs. 2,97,012 crore, respectively.  The rates of PFCE and GFCF as percentage of GDP at market prices in Q4 of 2007-08 were 53.4 per cent and 31.6 per cent, respectively, as against the corresponding rates of 53.7 per cent and 30.9 per cent, respectively in Q4 of 2006-07.

(b) Estimates at current prices

21. GDP at factor cost at current prices in Q4 of 2007-08 is estimated at Rs. 11,87,845 crore,  as against  Rs. 10,42,702 crore in Q4 of 2006-07, showing a rise of 13.9 per cent. 

22. The PFCE and GFCF at current market prices in Q4 of 2007-08 are estimated at Rs. 6,79,067 crore and Rs. 4,44,110 crore, respectively.  The rates of PFCE and GFCF at current prices as percentage of GDP at market prices in Q4 of 2007-08 are estimated at 51.5 per cent and 33.7 per cent, respectively, as against the corresponding rates of 51.6 per cent and 33.4 per cent, respectively in Q4 of 2006-07.   

23.  Estimates of GDP at factor cost by kind of economic activity and the Expenditures on GDP for the four quarters of 2005-06, 2006-07 and 2007-08 at constant (1999-2000) and current prices, are given in Statements 5 to 8.

24. The next release of quarterly GDP estimate for the quarter April-June, 2008 (Q1 of 2008-09) will be on 29.08.2008

STATEMENT 1: Estimates of National Income and Expenditures on GDP, 2007-08
(At 1999-2000 prices)
Item 2005-06 2006-07 (QE) 2007-08 (RE)
A. ESTIMATES AT AGGREGATE LEVEL
1. NATIONAL PRODUCT (Rs. Crore)
1.1 Gross national product (GNP) at factor cost 25,93,160 28,45,156 (9.7) 31,09,361 (9.3)
1.2 Net national product (NNP) at factor cost 23,06,894 25,30,495 (9.7) 27,67,682 (9.4)
2. DOMESTIC PRODUCT (Rs. Crore
2.1 Gross domestic product (GDP) at factor cost 26,12,847 28,64,310 (9.6) 31,22,862 (9.0)
2.2 Gross domestic product (GDP) at market prices 28,41,967 31,17,372 33,98,767
2.3 Net domestic product (NDP) at factor cost 23,26,581 25,49,649 (9.6 ) 27,81,182 (9.1)
2.4 Private Final Consumption Expenditure (PFCE) 17,05,663 18,26,490 19,77,876
2.5 Government Final Consumption Expenditure 2,88,495 3,06,420 3,27,747
2.6 Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) 8,28,986 9,54,350 10,85,618
2.7 Change in Stocks (CIS) 61,702 64,091 68,541
2.8 Valuables 33,140 38,091 3,404
2.9 Exports 5,39,460 6,41,228 6,89,636
2.10 Less Imports 6,19,076 7,70,961 8,30,006
2.11 Discrepancies 3,597 57,663 35,950
B. ESTIMATES AT PER CAPITA LEVEL
Population (million) 1,106 1,122 1,138
Per capita NNP at factor cost (Rs.) 20,858 22,553 (8.1) 24,321 (7.8)
Note: The figures in parenthesis show the percentage change over previous year
QE: Quick Estimate; RE: Revised Estimate

 

STATEMENT 2: Estimates of GDP at Factor Cost by Economic Activity
(At 1999-2000 prices)
Rs. Crore


Percentage change over previous year

Industry 2005-06 2006-07 (QE) 2007-08 (RE) 2006-07 2007-08
1. agriculture, forestry & fishing 5,11,013 5,30,236 5,54,336 3.8 4.5
2. mining & quarrying 55,150 58,294 61,061 5.7 4.7
3. manufacturing 3,93,557 4,40,770 4,79,456 12.0 8.8
4. electricity, gas & water supply 57,309 60,737 64,544 6.0 6.3
5. construction 1,84,255 2,06,338 2,26,579 12.0 9.8
6. trade, hotels, transport and communication 6,86,738 7,67,884 8,60,212 11.8 12.0
7. financing, insurance, real estate & business services 3,59,942 4,10,030 4,58,364 13.9 11.8
8. community, social & personal services 3,64,883 3,90,020 4,18,307 6.9 7.3
9. GDP at factor cost 26,12,847 28,64,310 31,22,862 9.6 9.0

 

STATEMENT 3: Estimates of National Income and Expenditures on GDP, 2007-08
(At current prices)
Item 2005-06 2006-07 (QE) 2007-08 (RE)
A. ESTIMATES AT AGGREGATE LEVEL
1. NATIONAL PRODUCT (Rs. Crore)
1.1 Gross national product (GNP) at factor cost 32,49,554 37,60,285 (15.7) 42,81,795 (13.9)
1.2 Net national product (NNP) at factor cost 28,70,750 33,25,817 (15.9) 37,89,482 (13.9)
2. DOMESTIC PRODUCT (Rs. Crore)
2.1 Gross domestic product (GDP) at factor cost 32,75,670 37,90,063 (15.7) 43,03,654 (13.6)
2.2 Gross domestic product (GDP) at market prices 35,80,344 41,45,810 (15.8) 47,13,148 (13.7)
2.3 Net domestic product (NDP) at factor cost 28,96,866 33,55,595 (15.8) 38,11,341 (13.6)
2.4 Gross National Disposable Income 36,62,793 42,42,120 48,36,361
2.5 Private Final Consumption Expenditure (PFCE) 20,55,387 23,12,105 26,07,584
2.6 Government Final Consumption Expenditure 3,73,076 4,27,007 4,77,697
2.7 Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) 11,09,160 13,46,501 15,98,078
2.8 Change in Stocks (CIS) 86,248 96,103 1,09,321
2.9 Valuables 41,392 49,709 59,211
2.10 Exports 7,12,087 9,15,674 10,05,065
2.11 Less Imports 8,13,466 10,40,797 11,51,739
2.12 Discrepancies 16,460 39,508 7,930
B. ESTIMATES AT PER CAPITA LEVEL
Population (million) 1,106 1,122 1,138
Per capita NNP at factor cost (Rs.) 25,956 29,642 (14.2) 33,299 (12.3)
Note: The figures in parenthesis show the percentage change over previous year
QE: Quick Estimate; RE: Revised Estimate

 

STATEMENT 4: Estimates of GDP at Factor Cost by Economic Activity
(At current prices)
Rs. Crore

Percentage change over previous year
Industry 2005-06 2006-07 (QE) 2007-08 (RE) 2006-07 2007-08
1. agriculture, forestry & fishing 615844 695423 764082 12.9 9.9
2. mining & quarrying 94153 101816 118712 8.1 16.6
3. manufacturing 519387 617954 705103 19.0 14.1
4. electricity, gas & water supply 64406 70563 75329 9.6 6.8
5. construction 264616 319497 366946 20.7 14.9
6. trade, hotels, transport and communication 815698 949469 1085468 16.4 14.3
7. financing, insurance, real estate & business services 452593 526755 614066 16.4 16.6
8. community, social & personal services 448972 508586 573948 13.3 12.9
9. GDP at factor cost 3275670 3790063 4303654 15.7 13.6

 

STATEMENT 5: Quarterly Estimates of GDP for 2007-08PERCENTAGE CHANGE OVER PREVIOUS YEAR (at 1999-2000 prices)
GDP AT FACTOR COST (Rs. in crore) PERCENTAGE CHANGE OVER PREVIOUS YEAR
2005-06 2006-07
2007-08
2006-07 2007-08
industry Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
1. agriculture, forestry & fishing 119462 95550 162245 133756 122660 98606 168666 140305 128042 103199 178741 144354 2.7 3.2 4.0 4.9 4.4 4.7 6.0 2.9
2. mining & quarrying 13306 12430 14018 15397 13852 12916 14863 16663 14083 13621 15706 17651 4.1 3.9 6.0 8.2 1.7 5.5 5.7 5.9
3. manufacturing 92185 95270 99720 106382 103009 106853 110948 119960 114270 116685 121574 126928 11.7
12.2 11.3 12.8
10.9
9.2
9.6 5.8
4. electricity, gas & water supply 14322 14031 14289 14667 14942 14961 15372 15462 16121 15990 16109 16324 4.3 6.6 7.6 5.4 7.9 6.9 4.8 5.6
5. construction 43284 43522 47623 49826 48967 48745 52745 55880 52720 54478 56474 62907 13.1 12.0 10.8 12.2 7.7 11.8 7.1 12.6
6. trade, hotels, transport & commn. 155516 158038 179221 193962 172481 178064 200900 216439 195068 197728 224091 243325 10.9 12.7 12.1 11.6 13.1 11.0 11.5 12.4
7. financing, ins., real est. & bus. services 85665 87353 90111 96813 97331 99526 103342 109831 109559 111833 115639 121334 13.6 13.9 14.7 13.4 12.6 12.4 11.9 10.5
8. community, social & personal services 81996 89578 89488 103822 90404 96043 94495 109078 95086 103451 100325 119446 10.3 7.2 5.6 5.1 5.2 7.7 6.2 9.5
GDP at factor cost 605737 595771 696714 714625 663645 655713 761333 783618 724949 716984 828659 852270 9.6 10.1 9.3 9.7 9.2 9.3 8.8 8.8

STATEMENT 6: Quarterly Estimates of GDP for 2007-08

industry GDP AT FACTOR COST (Rs. in crore) PERCENTAGE CHANGE OVER PREVIOUS YEAR
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2006-07 2007-08
Q1
Q2
Q3 Q4 Q1
Q2
Q3 Q4 Q1
Q2
Q3 Q4 Q1
Q2
Q3 Q4 Q1
Q2
Q3 Q4
1. agriculture, forestry & fishing 139826 115383 199365 161271 155326 127706 225723 186669 175004 143319 246379 199381 11.1 10.7 13.2 15.7 12.7 12.2 9.2 6.8
2. mining & quarrying 21485 21026 24630 27012 23943 22954 26074 28845 27396 24692 27504 39119 11.4 9.2
5.9
6.8 14.4 7.6
5.5 35.6
3. manufacturing 121064 125638 132223 140462 140869 148829
157073 171183 165280 170305 179165 190353 16.4 18.5 18.8
21.9 17.3 14.4 14.1 11.2
4. electricity, gas & water supply 15838 16034 15963 16571 17009 17271 18213 18069 18790 18643 18782 19114 7.4
7.7
14.1 9.0 10.5
7.9 3.1
5.8
5. construction 61100 62522 69124 71870 73912 75247 82623 87715 83866 87534 91448
104098 21.0
20.4
19.5 22.0
13.5
16.3 10.7 18.7
6. trade, hotels, transport & commn 184729 188417 216835 225718 212200 220224 253370 263675 248229 248151 285976 303112 14.9 16.9 16.8
16.8 17.0
12.7 12.9 15.0
7. financing, ins., real est. & bus. services 106441 110228 114520 121404 122772 127998 134188 141796 145106 149195 154793 164973 15.3 16.1
17.2
16.8 18.2 16.6 15.4
16.3
8. community, social & personal services 98544 109912 111349 129168 114474 124629 124733 144750 127199 141128 137927 167695 16.2 13.4 12.0
12.1 11.1
13.2 10.6 15.9
GDP at factor cost 749026 749159 884009 893476 860505 864860 1021996 1042702 990868 982968 1141973 1187845 14.9
15.4
15.6 16.7 15.1
13.7
11.7 13.9

STATEMENT 7: Quarterly Estimates of Expenditures of GDP for 2007-08

industry AT MARKET PRICES (Rs. in crore)
RATES OF GDP AT MARKET PRICES (%)
2006-07 2007-08 2006-07 2007-08
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2 Q3 Q4
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
1. Private Final Consumption Expenditure (PFCE)
427605 435557 498914 464414 460272 468855 545639 503109 60.7

60.3
60.4
53.7
59.8
59.5
60.7
53.4
2. Government Final Consumption Expenditure 80911 61861 73140 90508 79152 68219 74782 105593 11.5
8.6
8.9
10.5
10.3

8.7
8.3

11.2
3. Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF)
217321 225607 244272 267150 246203 263322 279081 297012 30.8
31.2

29.6
30.9
32.0
33.4
31.0
31.6
4. Change in Stocks 14978 15537 16133 17443 16335 16681 17380 18145 2.1
2.2

2.0
2.0
2.1

2.1

1.9
1.9
5. Valuables
9243 9367 9671 9810 9480 10579 12551 10794 1.3

1.3


1.2
1.1
1.2 1.3
1.4
1.1
6. Exports 172606 135973 147657 184992 182881 132133 170925 203698 24.5

18.8

17.9

21.4

23.8
16.8
19.0 21.6
7. Less Imports 180579 194898 199740 195744 191460
195727 228186 214632 25.6
27.0

24.2
22.6

24.9

24.8

25.4

22.8
8. Discrepancies 37244 33351 35354 26201 32993 24452 26926 17564 -5.3
4.6

4.3

3.0
-4.3

3.1
3.0
1.9
GDP at market prices 704841 722355
825401 864774 769871 788514 899098 941283 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

STATEMENT 8: Quarterly Estimates of Expenditures of GDP for 2007-08

industry AT MARKET PRICES (Rs. in crore)
RATES OF GDP AT MARKET PRICES (%)
2006-07 2007-08 2006-07 2007-08
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2 Q3 Q4
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
1. Private Final Consumption Expenditure (PFCE)
524769 547834 641156 598346 595537 613038 719943 679067 57.3
57.2 57.6 51.6 56.1 56.8 57.5 51.5
2. Government Final Consumption Expenditure 109446 85779 103513 128269 111933 99085 109703 156976 11.9
9.0 9.3 11.1
10.5
9.2
8.8
11.9
3. Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF)
298053 314446 347290 386712 357045 385921 411002 444110 32.5 32.8
31.2 33.4 33.6 35.7 32.8 33.7
4. Change in Stocks 21908 23146 24428 26622 25625 26404 27778 29513 2.4 2.4
2.2 2.3 2.4
2.4
2.2 2.2
5. Valuables
13015 13331 14015 9347 14073 15676 18806 10656 1.4
1.4
1.3
0.8 1.3 1.5
1.5
0.8
6. Exports 206273 228930 215183 265289 223634 227638 254885 298908 22.5
23.9
19.3
22.9
21.1
21.1 20.4 22.7
7. Less Imports 245903 266763 263627 264504 268153 275535 309756 298295 26.8 27.9
23.7 22.8
25.2
25.5
24.7
22.6
8. Discrepancies 11084 11010 31198 8386 2351 12293 19785 -1913 -1.2
1.1
2.8
0.7 0.2
-1.1 1.6
-0.1
GDP at market prices 916476 957712
1113155 1158468 1062045 1079935 1252147 1319021 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

See: Farm gains prop up GDP growth to 9 per cent in FY08


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See: Details of revised estimates of annual national income, 2007-08 and quarterly estimates of gross domestic product, 2007-08