Mumbai:
Manufacturing activity in the country fell to a 28-month low in July, weighed
down by a slower pace of output and export growth amidst a series of monetary
tightening measures by the Reserve Bank of India. The
ABN Amro Bank purchasing managers'' index (PMI) fell to a seasonally adjusted 52.9
in July from 53.2 in June. It was the lowest reading since the series began in
April 2005. The
PMI, compiled by UK-based NTC research and sponsored by the Dutch Bank, tracks
changes in manufacturing business conditions based on monthly output, new orders,
employment and prices of 500 companies. A
reading above 50.0 signals expansion while readings below 50.0 suggests contraction.
"Slowdown
in the manufacturing sector is becoming more pronounced now and the PMI falling
to its lowest level in 28 months corroborates that," said an official at
ABN Amro India. The
PMI hit a peak of 59.3 in October 2006. It has been declining since then as the
central bank took a raft of monetary steps to cool price pressures in Asia''s third-biggest
economy. The
new orders index eased to 55.7 in July from 55.8 in June. The new export orders
index fell to a three-month low of 51.3. The
output index fell to 54.2 in July, a four-month low. The
RBI has raised its key lending rate five times since June 2006, and jacked up
banks'' cash reserve ratio four times since December. In
its latest increase in the cash reserve ratio RBI increased it by 50 basis points
to 7.0 per cent, effective August 4. Hiring
by companies slowed, with the employment index easing to a three-month low of
50.3 in July from 50.8 in June. While
the input price index fell to its lowest in the survey''s 28-month history, the
output
price index rose to a seven-month high of 51.1 in July from 50.7 in June, the
survey pointed out.
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