Mumbai:
US trade deficit widened by $4.7 billion in the first
three months of 2007, following a rise in oil prices,
data released by the commerce department showed. This
took the country''s balance of payments to $192.6 billion,
from a revised $187.9 billion in the last quarter of 2006.
US trade gap widened despite an increase in goods exports
to $270.1 billion from $266.5 billion, as imports rose
to $471 billion from $466.8 billion.
Capital
payments to foreigners also increased considerably to
$20.7 billion from $26.1 billion due in part to money
paid to the Middle East and private remittances.
The
rise in trade deficit, however, was less than analysts
had forecast and many expect it to narrow over time as
exports increase.
The
US has seen its trade deficit at record highs for five
years in a row despite robust growth in exports.
"Robust
export growth, and some cooling in import growth, should
keep the deficit down this year," he added.
Some
analysts say the trade deficit was caused by an overvalued
dollar against the Chinese yuan as well as an inadequate
energy policy making the US overly dependent on foreign
oil. These underlying trends, they say, needs to be reversed.
But
there is more to it than just the overvaluation of the
dollar. Rising oil prices made it worse for the increasing
US trade deficit.. The value of petroleum imports shot
up by $230 billion between 1996 and 2006, which represents
a 300 per cent increase. Because the volume of oil imports
increased only 35 per cent, the vast majority of the surge
in import values occurred because of the sharp rise in
petroleum prices.
Reducing
the current account deficit is rather straightforward,
at least in theory. Because the US has been spending more
than it produces, it has been incurring current account
deficits. Therefore, reducing the deficit simply means
bringing spending back in line with production. Slower
US economic growth should translate into slower spending
growth, and dollar depreciation can help shift production
from foreign economies to the US via changes in relative
prices. It sounds simple, at least, in theory. However,
a closer look at the the structure of the trade deficit
reveals that a significant narrowing of the deficit may
be more difficult to achieve in practice.
|