As
widely expected, the Bank of Japan has announced a hike
in unsecured overnight call rate to 0.25 per cent after
keeping it at zero per cent since 1999. The unanimous
decision by the BoJ board was announced at the end of
its two-day meeting today.
"Taking
account of the current assessment of economic activity
and prices, the Bank judged it appropriate to adjust the
level of the policy interest rate at this juncture so
that a desirable course of economic activity and prices
was to be maintained. Today''s policy decision will contribute
to ensuring price stability and achieving sustainable
growth in the medium to long term", the BoJ said.
The
official overnight lending rate of BoJ, also called the
basic loan rate, has been increased from 0.1 per cent
to 0.4 per cent. The decision to hike the basic loan rate
was not a unanimous one, as one-third of the voting directors
cast dissenting votes. This is seen as an indication that
there would be considerable opposition from the BoJ directors
to future rate hikes, unless there are strong economic
growth signals.
In
the statement issued by BoJ, the central bank is non-committal
on future rate policy, but is clear about its preference
for low interest rates.
"On
the future path of monetary policy, the Bank will conduct
monetary policy by carefully assessing economic activity
and prices. The Bank will adjust the level of the policy
interest rate gradually in the light of developments in
economic activity and prices if they follow the projection
presented in the Outlook Report. In this process, an accommodative
monetary environment ensuing from very low interest rates
will probably be maintained for some time", the statement
said.
BoJ
is positive about the prospects for economic growth. The
Japanese government has forecast a GDP growth of over
2 per cent for the current year and the economy is expected
to decisively come out of nearly decade-long period of
deflation.
"Japan''s
economy continues to expand moderately, with domestic
and external demand and also the corporate and household
sectors well in balance. The economy is likely to expand
for a sustained period. The year-on-year rate of change
in consumer prices is projected to continue to follow
a positive trend", the BoJ statement added.
Most
economists believe that the chances of another rate hike
by BoJ during the current year are low. However, if the
Japanese economy maintains its growth trajectory, they
expect rates to firm up to 0.75 per cent by next year.
Global
financial markets are worried that rising interest rates
would lead to a decline in Japanese carry-trades, which
refers to borrowing at extremely low rates in Japan and
investing in higher yielding overseas assets. These carry-trades
had added to global liquidity for the last several years.
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