New
Delhi: A report by the United Nations Conference on
Trade and Development (Unctad) has projected a 6.5 per
cent economic growth rate for India against 9 per cent
growth for China during 2005. It has also warned that
the Indian information technology industry may remain
trapped at the low-end of the market.
"The Indian IT industry will export low-end services
such as debugging, testing, conversion and software installation,
but import expensive branded software and hardware products,"
the report has said.
The report suggested that technology should be upgraded
to support diversified and higher value-added production
to maintain economic growth. The report highlighted that
competition in manufactured exports would intensify, as
other developing countries had also begun to produce labour-intensive
goods.
It said the share of the manufacturing sector must go
up to sustain a high growth rate in the medium to long
term.
The report pointed out that China's and India's rapid
growth had been a key cause of the recent surge in primary
commodity prices, but growing imports by Beijing and New
Delhi would not be enough to reverse a long-term decline
in real commodity prices.
It
warned that a massive exchange rate appreciation in China
and other Asian developing countries could have a deflationary
impact on the world economy.
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