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Dr. Jalan attributed several
factors that influenced the forex market in the country
between May-August 2000. According to him factors such
as "expectations", "bandwagon effect"
and "volatility in capital inflows", played
a major role in exchange rate movements and it was not
possible to come to a definitive conclusion about the
relative role of each of these factors.
The governor observed that
while it was difficult to estimate the precise cause and
degree of volatility, a combination of measures had to
be resorted to in order to minimise the adverse impact
of this volatility on the rest of the economy. He also
stated that reliance on one or two measures like sharp
monetary tightening, unchecked depreciation of the exchange
rate, and/or unlimited use of reserves could have had
unacceptable longer term consequences for the economy.
all of which could have lead to a greater risk of irreversible
destabilisation.
The governor called for
exercising extreme care and caution in the management
of exchange rates and forex reserves in light of the uncertainty
in the direction of capital flows in a floating rate environment.
The continued good performance
of exports, particularly software exports, coupled with
a comfortable level of foreign exchange reserves and a
favourable outlook for foreign direct investment in certain
important sectors like information technology and telecommunications,
has helped cushion the adverse impact of the spiraling
rise in crude oil prices. Despite substantial increase
in the oil import bill, increase in exports and invisible
receipts was expected to keep the current account deficit
for the year 2000-2001 at less than 2 percent of GDP.
The monetary
policy for the second half of 2000-2001
With liquidity conditions
likely to remain adequate during the rest of the year,
the banking system is not expected to face any difficulty
in meeting the demand for credit. The RBI reiterated its
commitment to providing liquidity, where necessary, through
its Liquidity Adjustment Facility (LAF). The LAF, introduced
since June 2000 was being used to influence short term
interest rates by modulating day- to-day liquidity conditions
and to contain volatility in the forex market. The LAF
would continue to be operated in a flexible manner, both
in terms of rates and tenors in keeping with the developments
in the financial markets.
The governor emphasised
the need for market participants to take greater recourse
to appropriate asset -liability and risk management techniques
in order to take account of unanticipate changes in monetary
conditions and interest rate outlook.
Development
of Money Market
The RBI has decided to extend
the specific permission granted to select corporates to
route call money transactions through primary dealers,
currently available up to December, 2000, for a further
period of six months.
As regards other financial
institutions and mutual funds, which are currently permitted
to lend directly in the call/notice money market, the
central bank plans to constitute a group to suggest a
smooth phasing out such direct intervention, by a planned
reduction in their access to call/notice money market.
In July 2000, new guidelines
on the issue of commercial paper (CP) were issued and
these are expected to provide considerable flexibility
to the CP market while ensuring prudential safeguards
and transparency. The guideline will also enable companies
in the services sector to meet more easily their short-term
working capital needs.
The restriction on transferability
period for CDs issued by banks and financial institutions
have been withdrawn.
Rating has been mandatory
for the term deposits accepted by all-India financial
institutions with effect from November 1, 2000.
Prudential
Measures
The central bank has ensured
that all commercial banks adhere to the directives issued
in October 1998, under which they are required to make
a general provision on standard assets of a minimum of
25 basis points. This directive came into force from the
year ended March 31,2000. The provision so made is proposed
to be included in the Tier 2 capital.
The guidelines for valuation
of banks'' investment portfolio, requiring them to follow
the norms, including mark-to-market, have become effective
from the half year ended September 30, 2000.
Public sector banks will
be required to annex the balance sheets of their subsidiaries
from the year ending March 31, 2001.
The central bank has done
away with the concept of "past due" with effect
from March 31, 2001, in light of the improvement in the
payment and settlement system and upgradation of technology.
Bank Financing
of Equities and Investment in Shares
The technical committee
appointed by RBI-Sebi has framed guidelines for bank financing
of equities and investment in shares. The committee will
review the actual working of these guidelines in six months.
Exchange
Earners Foreign Currency A/cs (EEFC) Facility
It has been decided to restore
fully the earlier entitlements of 70 per cent and 50 per
cent respectively. The EEFC accounts will henceforth be
held in the form of current accounts.
Credit
Delivery Mechanisms
Banks have been given the
freedom of formulating their own policy for charging penal
interest rates with the approval of their boards.
A committee representing
banks, the government and FCI will be constituted to undertake
a review of food credit.
The RBI will evolve suitable
guidelines or extending bills discounting facility, especially
to the services sector.
Technology
Upgradation
"Payment System Vision
Discount" under preparation, will detail the payment
system agenda to be followed in the next 2 to 3 years..
RBI has established an internal
group to identify risks and suggest appropriate supervisory
and legal framework, suggest measures for adoption of
international best practices, recommend adequate systems
and suggest a clearing and settlement arrangement for
electronic banking and electronic money transfers.
In the four metros, the
RBI is all set to introduce Greyscale Imaging Technology
as a value added service to members of the Clearing House.
Legal
Reforms
The RBI is working
on proposals for amendments to Reserve Bank OF India Act,1934
and Banking Regulation Act, 1949 for according greater
flexibility in the conduct of monetary policy.
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