labels: Kodak, World economy
Kodak, MGM Mirage, Lear feature in Moody's list of likely defaulters news
12 March 2009

Eastman Kodak Co. and casino operator MGM Mirage are among 283 US companies at the highest risk of default, according to Moody's Investors Service.  Lear Corp, the world's No. 2 maker of automobile seats, also became one of the companies most at risk of defaulting in the first quarter, according to the latest Moody's report.

The number of speculative-grade issuers on the ''Bottom Rung'' list compiled by Moody's has almost doubled from 157 a year earlier, the New York-based ratings company said in report published today.

Moody's ''Bottom Rung'' is a new database and quarterly publication, the rating agency said. The list will be updated monthly.

''The current Bottom Rung list provides ample evidence of a severe default cycle,'' analysts David Keisman, Tom Marshella and Jennifer Brown wrote in the report. About 45 per cent of companies on the list will default on debt in the next year, Moody's says, which could include anything from filing for bankruptcy to missing debt payments.

More than 23 per cent of all US speculative-grade companies are on the list, compared with 9 per cent before the credit crisis, Moody's said. So-called junk-graded companies worldwide defaulted on their bonds at a rate of 5.2 per cent in February, the rating firm said in a separate report last week, as $1.2 trillion of bank losses combined with the deepest economic slump since World War II to hamper borrowers' finances.

Companies with exposure to weak consumer spending, such as auto, retail and media firms, are ''highly represented'' on the list, Moody's said.

''Any speculation, however informed, suggesting that Kodak is less than financially sound is irresponsible,'' said Kodak spokesman David Lanzillo. ''Kodak is financially solid, and we are taking the right actions to ensure that we remain a strong and enduring competitor.''

Moody's ranks speculative-grade debt below Baa3. ''Bottom Rung'' companies are ranked six steps lower at B3 with a negative outlook or on review for downgrade, or have probability of default ratings of Caa1 or lower, Moody's said.

The exhaustive list is given below:

Issuer Name

Probability of Default Rating

Corporate Family Rating

Outlook

Total Rated Debt Outstanding (in billions)

Industry Sector

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Allison Transmission, Inc.

B3

B3

Negative

$4.60

Automotive: Parts

AMR Corp.

Caa1

Caa1

Negative

$1.62

Transportation Services: Airline

Building Materials Corporation of America

Caa1

B3

Negative

$1.55

Manufacturing: Finished Products

Chrysler LLC

Ca

Ca

Negative

$9.00

Automotive: Passenger

Citadel Broadcasting Corp.

Caa3

Caa2

Negative

$2.29

Media: Broadcast TV & Radio Stations

Claire's Stores, Inc.

Caa3

Caa3

Negative

$2.59

Retail: Department Stores

Dana Holding Corp.

Caa1

Caa1

Rating under review

$2.08

Automotive: Parts

Dole Food Company, Inc.

Caa1

B3

Negative

$1.51

Natural Products Processor: Agriculture

Eastman Kodak Co.

B3

B3

Negative

$2.10

Technology: Hardware

Ford Motor Co.

Caa3

Caa3

Negative

$31.55

Automotive: Passenger

Freescale Semiconductor, Inc.

Ca

Caa1

Negative

$10.20

Technology: Semiconductor

General Motors Corp.

Ca

Ca

Negative

$38.56

Automotive: Passenger

Georgia Gulf Corp.

Caa2

Caa2

Negative

$1.98

Chemicals: Commodity Chemical

Hawker Beechcraft Acquisition Co.

B3

B3

Negative

$2.85

Aircraft & Aerospace: Equipment

Idearc, Inc.

Caa3

Caa2

Negative

$9.29

Media Publishing: Books

Lear Corp.

Caa2

Caa2

Rating under review

$2.30

Automotive: Parts

Level 3 Communications, Inc.

Caa1

Caa1

Rating under review

$1.87

Telecommunications: Wireline

Michaels Stores, Inc.

B3

B3

Negative

$3.93

Retail: Specialty

OSI Restaurant Partners, Inc.

Ca

Caa1

Rating under review

$2.11

Restaurants: Family Dining

R.H. Donnelley Corp.

Caa2

Caa1

Negative

$3.48

Media: Printing - Holdco

Reader's Digest Association, Inc.

Caa3

Caa3

Negative

$2.21

Media Publishing: Newspapers & Magazines

Realogy Corp.

Caa3

Caa3

Negative

$7.56

Services: Consumer

Rite Aid Corp.

Caa2

Caa2

Negative

$6.80

Retail: Drug Stores

Source Interlink Companies Inc.

Caa1

Caa1

Negative

$1.63

Media Publishing: Newspapers & Magazines

Swift Transportation Co., Inc.

Caa1

Caa1

Negative

$2.98

Transportation Services: Trucking

Tenneco Inc.

B3

B3

Negative

$1.83

Automotive: Parts

Univision Communications, Inc.

B3

B3

Negative

$10.09

Media: Diversified Media - Fc

US Airways Group, Inc.

Caa1

Caa1

Negative

$1.60

Transportation Services: Airline

Visteon Corp.

Caa1

Caa2

Negative

$3.20

Automotive: Parts

Western Refining, Inc.

B3

B3

Negative

$1.40

Energy: Oil - Refining & Marketing

Sources: Moody's Investors Service

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Kodak, MGM Mirage, Lear feature in Moody's list of likely defaulters