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With
just a day to go, many experts say that the improved prospects
for the steel industry may mean a higher price for Corus.
CNBC-TV18 reports.
Many
of the doom and gloom scenarios, which the steel industry
had expected for this year, have been lifting in recent
weeks. Experts who thought that the early 500 pence would
be the most that is right for Corus are now revising their
numbers upwards.
Global
steel consultant, Mike Mytton, says, "There are differences
now in the steel market from when the process started
and the present expectations anyway. People were rather
gloomy about the steel market for 2007 back in October-November
when the bidding process started, but they are much more
optimistic now. So that gives some reason for a higher
price."
A
comparison with what Mittal paid for Arcelor, combined
with better prospects now, are beginning to add up to
a considerably higher price for Corus.
Patrick
Flockhart, managing director, Steel Business Briefing,
says, "Mittal, on a rough basis, paid about $725
to $726 a tonne for the capacity of Arcelor. So on that
basis on a share price you could say Corus could be sold
for round about 5 pounds 95 a share
maybe six pounds
a share on a rough and ready basis. So there is room for
the bidding to go up from the current level therefore
of 5 pounds 15 pence."
Mittal
paid a high price given a bleak scenario, and the present
outlook could warrant an even higher price.
Flockhart
further adds, "Overall the steel industry is in good
shape, and you can certainly say it is in much better
shape than when Laxmi Mittal launched his bid for Arcelor."
And
both bidders are looking beyond immediate value to long-term
benefits.
Mytton
says, "This meeting of good companies but with poor
market growth prospects and low cost companies with high
market growth prospects is a big synergy really, and will
make a difference to both companies."
The
New Year has a right outlook for the steel industry. That
means
there is that much that they can pay for and play for
in the bidding for Corus, the valuation for the company
has risen and the bidding will rise accordingly.
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