What a turnaround! SpiceJet becomes world’s top airline stock

27 Jun 2017

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Two and a half years after SpiceJet Ltd was forced to ground its entire fleet for being unable to pay a mere $2.2 million in fuel bills, the budget airline has become the world's best-performing airline stock - with $26 billion in plane orders to boot, Bloomberg reports.

SpiceJet co-founder and chairman, Ajay SinghThe company's co-founder and chairman, Ajay Singh, has been the star of this turnaround, injecting capital, cutting loss-making routes and aggressively adding capacity in one of the world's fastest growing markets. To top it all, crude prices are staying low.

For investors, that's been a winning formula: SpiceJet shares are the best performers on a Bloomberg Intelligence index of airline stocks this year. The stock is up 124 per cent in 2017 and has gained more than 800 per cent since the company's near-demise in December 2014, giving SpiceJet a market value of $1.2 billion.

The outlook for aviation stocks looks good ''as long as oil prices are under control'', Mahesh Patil, co-chief investment officer of Birla Sun Life Asset Management Co, told Bloomberg. Birla held a stake of about 1.2 per cent in SpiceJet as of 31 May, according to Bloomberg data.

More people will prefer to travel by plane as ticket prices fall, Patil said, declining to comment specifically on SpiceJet.

India was the world's fastest growing aviation market last year, and is crucial for planemakers like Boeing Co and Airbus SE, as airlines see increased demand from the rising middle class, the Bloomberg report adds. Demand has pushed Singapore Airlines Ltd and AirAsia Bhd to set up local units that are grappling with poor infrastructure, stiff competition resulting in below-cost fares and taxes that make jet fuel the costliest in Asia.

SpiceJet's majority shareholder and chairman Singh announced an order for the latest variant of Boeing's workhorse 737 model worth $4.7 billion on 19 June. A day later, he followed up with an order for as many as 50 Bombardier Q400 turboprops worth $1.7 billion.

SpiceJet is ''doing extremely well'' and expects profit to rise this year, spokesman Tushar Srivastava said in an email to Bloomberg. Funding arrangements for the plane orders are coming together and Srivastava sees ''no great challenge'' to financing the aircraft, he said.

None of the analysts covering SpiceJet recommends selling the stock, according to Bloomberg data. HDFC Securities Ltd, the only firm recommending the equivalent of a hold rating, still predicts profitability will increase ''sharply'' on a stronger rupee and weak oil prices.

Enterprenuer Ajay Singh and London-based Indian businessman Bhulo Kansagra started SpiceJet by reviving Royal Airways in 2005 and they both left the company in 2010.

SpiceJet's fortune hit a bottom in December 2014 when lessors took away some aircraft, and the carrier missed salary payments and cancelled more than 2,000 flights that month. State oil companies added to the airline's troubles by refusing to fuel the jets unless dues were cleared.

Singh came back to rescue SpiceJet - which names each of its aircraft after a spice like mint, coriander and pepper - with an initial investment of Rs500 crore in February 2015.

The government then permitted the carrier to accept forward bookings, which brought money into the airline's accounts and giving it a new lease of life. Singh cut costs, renegotiated contracts with vendors and piggy-backed on a surge in domestic aviation traffic to help turn around the fledging airline.

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